ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: SAR Flip Bearish, TRIMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +12 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(22 Oct 2026, 15:32 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | TRIMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | CHOP Choppy | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.21 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 1.03 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.85 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bearish momentum is strong and broad-based, with many indicators firing together on the 30-minute chart.
- Trend alignment is predominantly bearish across timeframes, but the 4h is choppy, so watch for potential consolidation.
- Key levels: support at 2377.60 (watch for a break) and resistance at 2526.62 (a reclaim would invalidate the signal).
- The signal has a very high probability (94%) and very strong strength, indicating high conviction.
Trend alignment across timeframes shows a consistent bearish bias from 15-minute up to 1-day, with the strongest conviction on the 30-minute (4/5) and solid trends on 15m, 1h, 8h, and 12h. The 2h and 1d timeframes are still forming, and the 4h is choppy/sideways, which tempers the overall alignment but does not negate the short-term bearish momentum. Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 2526.62 and support at 2377.60. A break below support would confirm the bearish trend, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
- ▼ Multiple zero-cross and cross-down indicators align, signaling a synchronized bearish move.
- ▼ Trend scores are solid (3/5) or better on most timeframes, with the 30m at very strong (4/5).
- ▼ The EMA Retreat Down confirms that price is pulling back from recent highs, reinforcing the bearish case.
- ▼ The signal's high probability and strong strength add weight to the bearish outlook.
- ▲ The 4h timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to a pause or reversal if higher-timeframe momentum fades.
- ▲ A reclaim of the nearest resistance at 2526.62 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ The 2h and 1d trends are only 'forming' (2/5), so the bearish trend is not fully established on those higher timeframes.
- ▲ If momentum indicators (like CCI or ROC) start to flatten or diverge, the signal could lose steam.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 2,526.62000 | 2026-10-21 |
| S1 | 2,377.60000 | 2026-10-20 |
| S2 | 2,372.62000 | 2026-10-20 |
| S3 | 2,329.00000 | 2026-10-18 |