ETH/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-22 20:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.13 %

Entry

2,389.14

Target

2,494.00 +4.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,329.00 −2.52 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,538 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,538 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.77 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, Double Bottom, BOP Zero Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

38.0 % ↑ +2.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 83 % (8.96) ▼ Bearish 17 % (1.87)

model score 9.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.6 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 39.1 % vs 22.3 % (crypto, 1,684 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.91
▲	Double Bottombreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.66
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.20
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.18
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.13

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish signals on the 4H chart suggests a possible reversal, but higher timeframes are still bearish, so caution is warranted.
Watch the 2494 resistance: a break above would confirm the bullish shift, while a drop below 2329 support would invalidate the setup.
The Double Bottom and Trendline Break Up are strong pattern signals, but their reliability depends on follow-through from momentum indicators.
The 4H signal is strong (77% probability), but the bearish higher timeframe trend means this could be a counter-trend move.

The 4H chart for ETH/USDT has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, a Double Bottom, and a BOP Zero Cross Up, alongside momentum shifts from STOCH OS Exit and MAMA Cross Down. These patterns suggest a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum, with the Double Bottom indicating a possible reversal after a downtrend. The Trendline Break Up adds weight, suggesting that the recent price action has broken above a key descending trendline, which could signal the start of a new upward phase.

However, the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, with solid trends on 30m, 1h, 8h, and 12h. This creates a conflict: the 4H signal is bullish, but the broader trend is still bearish. The nearest resistance at 2494.00 is a critical level to watch; a break above it would confirm the bullish reversal, while a failure to hold above the recent lows could invalidate the pattern. The support at 2329.00 is the key invalidation zone.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple signal groups (chart pattern, trendline, indicator, candlestick) align on the 4H timeframe, increasing confidence in the bullish setup.
▲ The Double Bottom is a classic reversal pattern, and the Trendline Break Up adds confluence for a potential trend change.
▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH OS Exit indicate buying pressure and momentum shifting from oversold conditions, supporting the bullish case.
▲ The 'Long Legged Doji' candlestick often signals indecision, which can precede a reversal when combined with other bullish signals.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 8H, 12H) are bearish with solid trends, which could override the 4H bullish signal.
▼ If price fails to break above 2494 resistance, the bullish setup may fade, and a drop below 2329 support would invalidate the pattern.
▼ The 4H trend itself is choppy/sideways, suggesting low trend strength, which may reduce the reliability of the signals.
▼ Momentum indicators like MAMA Cross Down and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down could indicate volatility contractions that may not resolve upward.