EUR/AUD – 1H – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.08 %
Entry
1.59826
Target
1.59242 +0.37 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.60932 −0.69 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/AUD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 67%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.55
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.07
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.67
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.34
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.10
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 1.09
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 0.94
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.91
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 0.75

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish cross-downs and EMA/KAMA retreats signals strong selling pressure on the 1H timeframe.
  • The bearish trend is solid across 1H-4H, but choppy on 15m/30m and higher timeframes, so expect some volatility.
  • Watch the 1.59614 support level; a break below would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of 1.60932 would invalidate it.
  • The signal probability is high (85%) with very strong strength, but the longer-term trend is less aligned, so use caution with position sizing.
The EUR/AUD 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH KD, and WILLR cross-downs, alongside EMA 50 and KAMA retreats. This confluence reflects a broad-based loss of upside momentum and a coordinated shift toward selling pressure across multiple indicator families. The 1H through 4H timeframes all show a solid bearish trend (3/5), while the 15m and 30m are choppy but still bearish, indicating that the immediate pullback is part of a more established move. The 8H trend is forming, but the 12H and 1D are choppy, suggesting that the longer-term picture is less certain.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.60932 and support at 1.59614. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the path for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The alignment of the 1H-4H timeframes and the strong indicator confluence support the bearish case, but the choppy higher timeframes and the proximity of support mean that traders should be prepared for potential consolidation or a bounce if the support holds.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple zero-cross and cross-down signals firing together (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH KD) create a strong confluence.
  • ▼ EMA 50 and KAMA retreats indicate that key moving averages are turning down, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trend scores (3/5) across the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes suggest the move is not just a short-term wick.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.60932 provides a clear invalidation level; as long as price stays below it, the bearish setup remains intact.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could lead to short-term whipsaws and false breakouts.
  • ▲ The 12H and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating that the longer-term trend is not aligned; a shift in the higher timeframe could stall the move.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 1.59614 is relatively close; if it holds, the pair could consolidate or reverse, invalidating the signal.
  • ▲ The signal relies on a cluster of momentum indicators; if price stalls near support, momentum could fade quickly, leading to a false signal.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 67%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.60932 2026-10-20
R2 1.61884 2026-10-16
R3 1.62660 2026-10-15
S1 1.59614 2026-10-21
S2 1.59547 2026-10-14

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