EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 04:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.30 %

Entry

1.60273

Target

1.59568 +0.44 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.60625 −0.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, HMA Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.59
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.55
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	1.94
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.94
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.36
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30m chart, with multiple overbought exits and moving-average retreats, points to a shift toward selling pressure.
Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are already bearish, supporting the sell bias, but the 15m-1h range is still bullish, so the move may need time to develop.
Key levels: resistance at 1.60625, support at 1.59568; a break below support would confirm the downtrend, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.
Overall probability is 69% with moderate strength, indicating a decent but not overwhelming edge; manage risk accordingly.

The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, led by a trendline break to the downside, with multiple overbought-exit indicators (RSI, STOCH, WILLR) and moving-average retreats (EMA 200, SMA 200) confirming the shift. The KDJ cross down and BOP zero cross further support the bearish momentum, while the overall signal probability stands at 69% with moderate strength. This confluence suggests that the pair is likely to face selling pressure in the near term, with the nearest resistance at 1.60625 acting as a ceiling if any bounce occurs.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish alignment is notable: the 2h, 4h, and 8h charts all show solid bearish trends, which adds weight to the 30m signal. However, the immediate lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bullish, indicating that the bearish shift is only just beginning on the trading timeframe. This mixed alignment means the sell signal may be early, and traders should watch for confirmation on the 1h chart. The nearest support at 1.59568 is the key downside target, while a failure to break below that level could signal a false breakdown.

Catalysts

▼ Trendline break down on the 30m chart, combined with multiple overbought exits (RSI, STOCH, WILLR), shows a clear loss of upside momentum.
▼ EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreats on the 30m signal that price is pulling back from longer-term averages, aligning with the bearish move.
▼ Bearish trends on 2h, 4h, and 8h timeframes provide higher-timeframe confluence, increasing the likelihood of the sell signal playing out.
▼ KDJ cross down and BOP zero cross add extra confirmation of bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is premature; if the 30m trend flips back to bullish, the signal may fail.
▲ If price rallies above the nearest resistance at 1.60625, the trendline break and overbought exits would be invalidated, and the bearish thesis would be wrong.
▲ The 12h and 1d timeframes are choppy/sideways, suggesting that the broader trend is not strongly bearish, which could limit the downside potential.
▲ Moderate strength and 69% probability mean there is a meaningful chance of a false signal; watch for momentum fading on the 30m chart.