EUR/AUD – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.41 %
Entry
1.60209
Target
1.62660 +1.53 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.59547 −0.41 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bullish, SMI Signal Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/AUD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 4h 7%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 2.20
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.93
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.89
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.81
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 1.32
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.16
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.16
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.10

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal cluster on 4H with 81% probability, but higher timeframes are still bearish—confirmation needed.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.62660 and support at 1.59547; watch for a break above resistance or a hold above support.
  • Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are bullish, supporting the 4H signal, but the 4H-1D bearish trend is a major counterweight.
  • If price fails to hold above 1.59547, the bullish signal is invalidated; if it breaks 1.62660, the reversal gains traction.
The EUR/AUD 4H signal cluster is strongly bullish, firing nine indicators in unison, including a DX Trend Weak, WILLR OS Exit, SAR Flip Bullish, T3 Break Up, AO Saucer Bullish, ER Level Cross Down, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, and SMI Signal Cross Up. This confluence suggests a robust shift in momentum from bearish to bullish on the 4H timeframe, with an 81% probability and strong strength. The immediate trend context shows bullish alignment across the lower timeframes (15m to 2h), with solid trends on 15m and 2h, and forming trends on 30m and 1h, indicating that the bullish momentum is building from the shorter-term perspective.

However, the higher timeframes (4H to 1D) remain bearish, with the 4H and 8H showing solid bearish trends, and 12H and 1D choppy/sideways. This creates a potential conflict: the bullish signal on 4H is counter to the prevailing higher-timeframe bearish trend. The nearest resistance at 1.62660 is a key level to watch; a break above could confirm the bullish reversal, while failure to hold above support at 1.59547 would invalidate the signal. Traders should monitor price action relative to these levels and the evolution of higher-timeframe trends for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Nine indicators firing in unison on 4H, including SAR flip and T3 breakout, showing strong momentum shift.
  • ▲ Bullish alignment across all lower timeframes (15m-2h) supports the 4H signal.
  • ▲ WILLR oversold exit and AO saucer bullish suggest exhaustion of downside pressure and potential for upside.
  • ▲ High probability (81%) and strong strength indicate high conviction in the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4H-1D) are bearish, with solid bearish trends on 4H and 8H, conflicting with the 4H bullish signal.
  • ▼ The 12H and 1D are choppy/sideways, offering no clear support for a sustained reversal.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above 1.62660, the bullish momentum may fade; a drop below 1.59547 invalidates the signal.
  • ▼ Momentum could stall if the higher-timeframe bearish trend reasserts, especially with only forming trends on some lower timeframes.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 01:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.62660 2026-10-15
R2 1.63352 2026-09-30
S1 1.59547 2026-10-14

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