EUR/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.00 %
Entry
1.57742
Target
1.57401 +0.22 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.58064 −0.20 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,150 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,150 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +13% Scalping
▲ Bullish 27 % (9.87) ▼ Bearish 73 % (26.68)
model score 73.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
EUR/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 73%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 2.12
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.05
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.03
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.87
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.86
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.83
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.82
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.75
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.74
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.60
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.29
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 1.27
▲ Takuri Line candlestick 1.19

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal on the 30M chart with 86% probability, backed by multiple retreating indicators.
  • Trend is consistently bearish across all timeframes, but strongest on the 2H and 4H, suggesting medium-term momentum.
  • Watch the nearest support at 1.57576; a break below could accelerate the move, while resistance at 1.58064 is the key invalidation zone.
  • Short-term timeframes (15M-1H) are choppy, so expect possible sideways action before the trend resumes.
The EUR/CAD 30-minute chart is flashing a very strong bearish signal with an 86% probability, driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators all retreating downward. This includes the Balance of Power (BOP) crossing below zero, plus multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and trendline/midpoint retreats, indicating a synchronized loss of upside momentum. The confluence across indicator, fibonacci, and candlestick groups adds weight to the bearish case.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent but with varying strength: the 15m to 1h timeframes are choppy and sideways (1/5), while the 2h and 4h timeframes show a solid trend (3/5). This suggests the immediate short-term is noisy, but the medium-term trend is more established. The 8h to 1d timeframes are still forming, so the bearish move is not yet deeply entrenched on higher levels. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.58064 and support at 1.57576; a break below support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong alignment across multiple indicator groups (indicator, fibonacci, candlestick) all pointing bearish.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on 2H and 4H.
  • ▼ The BOP zero cross down and multiple moving average retreats confirm a broad loss of upside momentum.
  • ▼ High probability (86%) and very strong strength rating increase confidence in the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The short-term timeframes (15M-1H) are choppy and sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 1.58064, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H-1D) are only trend forming (2/5), so the bearish trend may not have deep support yet.
  • ▲ Watch for momentum fading: if the retreating indicators start to flatten or turn up, the sell signal could lose steam.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 73%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 01:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.58064 2026-10-21
R2 1.58190 2026-10-20
R3 1.58208 2026-10-19
S1 1.57576 2026-10-21
S2 1.57401 2026-10-20

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