EUR/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.26 %
Entry
1.12434
Target
1.12696 +0.23 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12139 −0.26 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Break Up, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, SAR Flip Bullish +14 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 9 × 1h 3%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ BBANDS UPPER Break Up indicator 2.56
▲ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish indicator 2.08
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 2.07
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.05
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.03
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.95
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.93
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.66
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.57
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.50
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.42
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.42
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.34
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.25
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 1.17
▼ STC OB Entry indicator 1.09
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.01
▲ Closing Marubozu Bullish candlestick 0.82
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High indicator 0.60

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 1H with multiple confirming indicators, but higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, so treat as a counter-trend move.
  • Watch the 1.12608 resistance: a break above could extend the rally; failure to break may lead to a pullback.
  • Support at 1.12139 is the invalidation level; a close below it would negate the bullish setup.
  • Choppy price action across lower timeframes means expect volatility and possible false signals.
The 1H EUR/USD signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators, including an AROON strong uptrend, a BOP zero cross up, and a STOCH KD cross up, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 200, KAMA). The confluence of these signals suggests that short-term momentum is building, with price pushing above the upper Bollinger Band and Williams %R entering the overbought zone, indicating strong upward pressure. However, the broader context is mixed: while the 15m through 4H timeframes are all bullish (albeit choppy), the 12H and 1D timeframes are bearish, with the daily trend being very strong. This divergence implies that the current bullish push may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, and the signal's high probability (88%) should be weighed against the higher-timeframe bearish pressure.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12608 and support at 1.12139. A break above resistance would confirm the short-term bullish momentum, potentially extending the move, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the larger bearish trend. The choppy nature of the lower timeframes (trend score 1/5) suggests that the move may be volatile and prone to reversals. Traders should monitor how price interacts with these levels, as the higher-timeframe trend is a significant headwind. The signal's strength is very strong, but the conflicting trend alignment across timeframes is a key risk factor.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (AROON, BOP, STOCH, BBANDS, EMA, KAMA) on the 1H timeframe.
  • ▲ Bullish alignment across 15m, 30m, 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes, supporting short-term momentum.
  • ▲ Strong trend score (88% probability) and very strong signal strength.
  • ▲ Price breaking above the upper Bollinger Band suggests an acceleration in upward momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends are bearish (12H solid, 1D very strong), which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways action on all timeframes except 12H/1D indicates weak trend conviction, increasing the chance of a false signal.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above support at 1.12139, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • ▼ Overbought conditions (WILLR OB entry) may lead to a corrective pullback.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12608 2026-10-20
R2 1.12696 2026-10-16
S1 1.12139 2026-10-21
S2 1.12045 2026-10-20
S3 1.11806 2026-10-19

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