EUR/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.22 %
Entry
1.12330
Target
1.12608 +0.25 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11806 −0.47 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Up, SMA 200 Break Up, MAMA PRICE Break Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 3%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.45
▲ SMA 200 Break Up indicator 2.42
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 2.41
▲ HT TRENDLINE Break Up indicator 2.37
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.31
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.25
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.15
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.11
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.05
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.99
▲ STC Level Cross Up indicator 1.98
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.92
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.56
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.49
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.47
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 1.17

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Heavy bullish confluence on the 2H chart — over 15 signals firing together.
  • Short-term momentum is up, but the daily trend is strongly bearish — expect resistance.
  • Watch the 1.12608 resistance; a break above it would confirm the bullish shift.
  • Invalidation is below 1.11806 — a drop under that support negates the signal.
The 2H EUR/USD signal fires a dense cluster of bullish triggers — a trendline break to the upside, MACD and STOCH cross-ups, plus EMA/KAMA/MA retreats and a MAMA price break — all pointing to a strong, momentum-driven shift higher. The probability score of 97% and 'very strong' strength reflect the unusually high confluence of over 15 individual signals, which together suggest that the balance of power on the 2H timeframe has flipped decisively in favor of buyers.

However, the broader picture is mixed. While the 4H and 8H timeframes are also bullish, they are choppy and sideways, indicating weak trend conviction. The 12H and 1D trends remain firmly bearish, with the daily trend rated 'very strong' (4/5). This creates a classic conflict: a powerful short-term bullish breakout against a dominant higher-timeframe downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.12608 is the immediate hurdle; a clean break above it would reinforce the bullish case, while a failure to hold above the nearest support at 1.11806 would invalidate the signal and likely see the bearish trend reassert itself.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Exceptional signal density: trendline, MACD, STOCH, EMA, KAMA, MA, and MAMA all aligned bullish.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) also bullish, providing some multi-timeframe support.
  • ▲ Very high probability (97%) and 'very strong' strength score indicate robust momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Dominant bearish trend on 12H and 1D timeframes — the daily trend is 'very strong' bearish, which could overpower the 2H move.
  • ▼ Choppy, sideways action on 4H and 8H suggests the bullish trend is not yet solid.
  • ▼ Immediate resistance at 1.12608 may cap upside; failure to break it could lead to a pullback.
  • ▼ If price drops below 1.11806, the signal is invalidated and the bearish trend resumes.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12608 2026-10-20
R2 1.12696 2026-10-16
R3 1.12768 2026-10-06
S1 1.11806 2026-10-19
S2 1.11129 2026-10-14

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