GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.23 %
Entry
211.262
Target
210.780 +0.23 %
closes in profit
Stop
211.986 −0.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
GBP/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 5 × 30m 91%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.46
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.44
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.33
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.15
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.14
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.96
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 1.73
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 1.43
▼ KST Zero Cross Down indicator 1.29

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term bearish momentum is strong, with multiple indicators confirming a sell-off.
  • Higher timeframes remain bullish, so the sell is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend.
  • Watch the 211.98600 resistance—a break above would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • Support at 210.78000 is the first key level to watch for a potential bounce.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with eight indicators aligned on a SELL direction and a very strong probability of 88%. The retreat patterns across multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and the midpoint, combined with a trendline retreat and a price break below the MAMA, indicate a synchronized downward push in the short term. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes both show bearish trends, with the 30-minute trend forming, suggesting that the current sell-off is gaining traction in the lower timeframes.

However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bullish, with the 4H and 1D trends forming. This creates a conflict: the immediate momentum is bearish, but the larger context remains bullish. The nearest resistance at 211.98600 is a key level to watch—if price retests it and fails, it would support the bearish case; a break above would invalidate the sell signal. Support at 210.78000 is the first major downside target, but given the bullish higher timeframe, a bounce there is likely. The trend score alignment is strongest in the lower timeframes, which supports the signal, but the higher timeframe bullishness is a significant headwind.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Alignment of 15-minute and 30-minute bearish trends, with the 30-minute trend forming.
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple moving average retreats and a price break below MAMA.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength (88% probability) from the indicator cluster.
  • ▼ The retreat patterns suggest a sustained downward move in the immediate timeframe.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H and above) are bullish, which could override the short-term bearish move.
  • ▲ The 1H and 2H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction in the medium term.
  • ▲ A break above the 211.98600 resistance would invalidate the sell signal and likely trigger a bullish continuation.
  • ▲ The bullish higher timeframe trend could lead to a quick reversal if the pullback loses momentum.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 91%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 03:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 211.98600 2026-10-21
S1 210.78000 2026-10-20
S2 210.76400 2026-10-20
S3 210.43100 2026-10-19

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