GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: T3 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, ZLMA Retreat Down +5 more
Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | T3 Break Down | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▼ | ZLMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.13 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 0.97 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 0.94 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A strong, high-probability sell signal has fired on the 30-minute chart, but it runs against a bullish trend across all higher timeframes.
- The bearish move is likely a short-term correction or pullback within an ongoing uptrend, not a trend reversal.
- Watch the nearest support at 211.42400; a break below it would validate the sell signal, while holding above it could lead to a bounce.
- The nearest resistance at 211.95200 is a key level to monitor for potential re-entry or invalidation of the bearish move.
However, the broader context is notably bullish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes to 1 day, with trend scores ranging from 1/5 to 2/5. This means the bearish signal is a counter-trend move within a prevailing uptrend. The alignment across timeframes is weak, as all higher timeframes are bullish, which limits the sustainability of the sell-off. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 211.42400 and resistance at 211.95200. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while holding above it could signal a pause within the larger uptrend.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (CCI, T3, HT SINE, ER, ALMA, HMA, ZLMA) firing simultaneously increases signal reliability.
- ▼ Strong signal strength (84% probability) and strong momentum behind the sell direction.
- ▼ The signal includes both candlestick and indicator groups, adding technical confluence.
- ▼ The sell signal occurs after an overbought condition (CCI OB Exit), suggesting a natural pullback point.
- ▲ All higher timeframes (15m to 1d) are bullish, which could overwhelm the short-term bearish move and lead to a quick reversal.
- ▲ The bullish trend scores are low (1/5 or 2/5), indicating choppy or forming trends, which may reduce the strength of the counter-trend move.
- ▲ If the price fails to break below the nearest support at 211.42400, the sell signal may lose momentum and the uptrend could resume.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 211.95200 would invalidate the bearish signal and likely signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 211.95200 | 2026-10-21 |
| S1 | 211.42400 | 2026-10-21 |
| S2 | 211.38800 | 2026-10-21 |
| S3 | 211.37200 | 2026-10-21 |