GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.21 %
Entry
211.840
Target
211.388 +0.21 %
closes in profit
Stop
212.828 −0.47 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, ZLMA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
GBP/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 90%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.37
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.30
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.23
▼ ZLMA Retreat Down indicator 1.62
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.20
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.13
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 0.97
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong, high-probability sell signal has fired on the 30-minute chart, but it runs against a bullish trend across all higher timeframes.
  • The bearish move is likely a short-term correction or pullback within an ongoing uptrend, not a trend reversal.
  • Watch the nearest support at 211.42400; a break below it would validate the sell signal, while holding above it could lead to a bounce.
  • The nearest resistance at 211.95200 is a key level to monitor for potential re-entry or invalidation of the bearish move.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a CCI OB Exit, T3 Break Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, ALMA Break Down, HMA Retreat Down, HMA Direction Down, and ZLMA Retreat Down. This confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators suggests a sharp, near-term rejection of higher prices, likely from an overbought condition. The signal strength is strong, with an 84% probability, indicating a high degree of alignment among the firing indicators.

However, the broader context is notably bullish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes to 1 day, with trend scores ranging from 1/5 to 2/5. This means the bearish signal is a counter-trend move within a prevailing uptrend. The alignment across timeframes is weak, as all higher timeframes are bullish, which limits the sustainability of the sell-off. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 211.42400 and resistance at 211.95200. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while holding above it could signal a pause within the larger uptrend.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (CCI, T3, HT SINE, ER, ALMA, HMA, ZLMA) firing simultaneously increases signal reliability.
  • ▼ Strong signal strength (84% probability) and strong momentum behind the sell direction.
  • ▼ The signal includes both candlestick and indicator groups, adding technical confluence.
  • ▼ The sell signal occurs after an overbought condition (CCI OB Exit), suggesting a natural pullback point.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ All higher timeframes (15m to 1d) are bullish, which could overwhelm the short-term bearish move and lead to a quick reversal.
  • ▲ The bullish trend scores are low (1/5 or 2/5), indicating choppy or forming trends, which may reduce the strength of the counter-trend move.
  • ▲ If the price fails to break below the nearest support at 211.42400, the sell signal may lose momentum and the uptrend could resume.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 211.95200 would invalidate the bearish signal and likely signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-21 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 211.95200 2026-10-21
S1 211.42400 2026-10-21
S2 211.38800 2026-10-21
S3 211.37200 2026-10-21

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