LINK/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.71 %
Entry
11.960
Target
12.776 +6.82 %
closes in profit
Stop
11.531 −3.59 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,538 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,538 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.77 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.0 % ↑ +1.0 vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 71 % (18.50) ▼ Bearish 29 % (7.44)
model score 18.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.6 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 39.1 % vs 22.3 % (crypto, 1,684 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
LINK/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 4h 19%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 2.32
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 2.15
▼ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.97
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 1.82
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.56
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.56
▼ HT SINE Cross Down indicator 0.93
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.74

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bullish indicators fired on the 4H, including a Golden Cross and oversold exit, suggesting a potential reversal.
  • The higher timeframes (30m to 1d) are still bearish, so the signal may be an early reversal attempt, not a confirmed trend change.
  • Watch the resistance at 12.77600: a break above would confirm the bullish case; a drop below support at 11.53100 would invalidate it.
  • Strength is moderate (65%), so consider waiting for confirmation on higher timeframes before acting.
The 4H signal on LIN/KUSDT has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, SMA 20/50 Golden Cross, and an HMA Retreat Up. These are momentum and trend-following signals suggesting that buying pressure is building after a period of oversold conditions. The Golden Cross on the 4H timeframe is particularly significant as it often marks a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m is bullish, the higher timeframes (30m to 1d) are predominantly bearish, with the 4H itself still bearish but forming. This creates a conflict between the short-term bullish signal and the longer-term downtrend, meaning the signal may be an early reversal attempt rather than a confirmed trend change.

The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 12.77600 and support at 11.53100. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal and align with the 4H Golden Cross, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal and suggest the bearish trend is resuming. The moderate strength (65% probability) and the presence of conflicting trends across timeframes suggest caution. Traders should look for sustained buying pressure and a flip in the higher timeframes to validate the signal. The signal is more compelling if the 4H trend shifts to bullish and the price holds above the 50 SMA.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, STOCHRSI) align on the 4H, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
  • ▲ The Golden Cross on the 20/50 SMA is a classic bullish signal that often precedes sustained upside.
  • ▲ The 15m timeframe is already bullish, providing a short-term tailwind.
  • ▲ The signal includes a candlestick component, adding a price-action confirmation.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 30m, 1h, 8h, and 12h timeframes are solidly bearish, which could overpower the short-term bullish signal.
  • ▼ The 4H trend is still bearish (forming), so the Golden Cross may be premature.
  • ▼ If price fails to break resistance at 12.77600, the reversal could stall and lead to a retest of support.
  • ▼ A drop below 11.53100 would invalidate the signal and likely resume the downtrend.
Symbol LINK/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 19%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 20:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 12.77600 2026-10-16
R2 13.50600 2026-10-12
R3 14.32600 2026-10-04
S1 11.53100 2026-10-18

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