LUNC/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.29 %
Entry
0.00004505
Target
0.00004447 +1.29 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.00004756 −5.57 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,538 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,538 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.77 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, HT SINE Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
LUNC/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 4h 97%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.19
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.69
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.64
▼ HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.62
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.53
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.36
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.24

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish indicators align, pointing to continued downside pressure on LUN/CUSDT.
  • The 4H trend is still forming, but higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H) show very strong bearish trends, reinforcing the signal.
  • Watch the 0.00004 support; a break below would confirm the bearish move, while a hold above 0.00005 resistance could signal a shift.
  • The signal is weak (63% probability), so use caution and wait for confirmation before acting.
The LUN/CUSDT 4H signal fires a cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, HT SINE Cross Down, ER Level Cross Up, and ALMA Retreat Down. These tools collectively suggest that downward momentum is building, with oscillators turning lower from overbought or neutral conditions and trend-following indicators confirming a bearish tilt. The signal carries a 63% probability and is labeled weak, meaning it is a moderate but not overwhelming bearish call. The convergence of multiple indicator types, however, adds weight to the signal, even if the strength is not yet robust.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistently present, though the 4H itself shows only a forming trend (2/5). The higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H) show very strong bearish trends (4/5), and the 1D shows a solid trend (3/5), indicating that the broader picture is firmly bearish. This alignment suggests that the 4H signal is likely part of a larger downtrend, and the current weakness may be a temporary consolidation. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.00005 and support at 0.00004. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a hold above resistance could signal a reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across most timeframes (bearish on 15m through 1D) supports the bearish signal.
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator types (momentum, volatility, trend) firing together increases confidence.
  • ▼ Very strong bearish trends on 1H, 8H, and 12H provide a solid backdrop for the 4H signal.
  • ▼ The signal occurs after a period of bearish consolidation, as indicated by the forming 4H trend, suggesting a potential continuation.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The signal strength is weak (63%), so there is a significant chance of a false signal or reversal.
  • ▲ The 4H timeframe itself shows only a forming trend (2/5), indicating that the immediate bearish momentum is not yet fully established.
  • ▲ A move back above the 0.00005 resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Oscillator signals like STOCH OS Exit and WILLR OS Entry may indicate oversold conditions that could lead to a bounce, especially if the trend is maturing.
Symbol LUNC/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 20:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00005 2026-10-20
R2 0.00005 2026-10-16
R3 0.00005 2026-10-10
S1 0.00004 2026-10-18

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