LUNC/USDT – 8H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-22 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.27 %

Entry

0.00004505

Target

0.00004411 +2.08 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00005730 −27.19 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.14 % per trade 834 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 834 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +4.22 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.40 % 28 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.77 % 19 % at stop avg −5.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Break Down, HMA Break Down, MACD Signal Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +29.0 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 3 % (1.51) ▼ Bearish 97 % (43.58)

model score 96.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.50
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.32
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.10
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.77
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.49
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.03
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	1.00
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators (MACD, TSI, DEMA, HMA) align on the 8H timeframe, pointing to continued downside.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with strongest conviction on 1H and 12H.
Key levels to watch: support at 0.00004, resistance at 0.00006.
Choppiness (CHOP) suggests caution; a false break is possible.

The 8H chart for LUN/CUSDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing in the same direction. The MACD Signal Cross Down and TSI Signal Cross Down indicate a loss of upside momentum, while the DEMA Break Down and HMA Break Down confirm that price has broken below key dynamic support levels. The BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up suggests volatility is compressing from below, and the presence of a Southern Doji candlestick, combined with a Matching Low, adds a layer of price-action confirmation to the bearish thesis. The CHOP indicator flags the market as choppy, which can amplify false moves, but the sheer number of aligned signals increases confidence.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with the 1H and 12H timeframes showing very strong trends (4/5) and the 30M, 2H, and 1D showing solid trends (3/5). This multi-timeframe alignment suggests that the bearish pressure is not isolated to a single session but is part of a broader move. The nearest resistance sits at 0.00006, while the nearest support is at 0.00004. A break below the support would likely accelerate the decline, but the choppiness warns that price may whipsaw before any decisive move. Traders should watch for a close below the 0.00004 support to confirm continuation, and a reclaim of 0.00006 would invalidate the bearish signal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of bearish trends across all timeframes from 15m to 1d.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicator types (momentum, trend, volatility) all firing bearish.
▼ Price breaking below dynamic support (DEMA, HMA) adds weight to the signal.
▼ Southern Doji and Matching Low candlestick patterns confirm bearish sentiment.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppiness (CHOP) may lead to whipsaw price action, causing a false breakdown.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.00006 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ The 15m and 4H trends are only 'forming' (2/5), so momentum may not be fully established.
▲ Watch for a bounce off support at 0.00004; a failure to break could signal a reversal.