NZD/USD – 30M – BUY
BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up +5 more
Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | EMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▲ | SMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.13 |
| ▲ | TTM TREND Trend Up | indicator | 1.06 |
| ▼ | AO Saucer Bearish | indicator | 1.01 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bullish signals on the 30m chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the daily trend is strongly bearish.
- Higher timeframes (1h-12h) are bullish, providing some support for the long bias.
- Watch the 0.56717 support level; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
- Resistance is undefined, so upside potential is uncertain.
Traders should view this as a counter-trend bounce against the daily bearish trend, with the bullish higher timeframes (1h-12h) lending some credibility. The signal's moderate strength and 71% probability suggest a reasonable edge, but the conflicting lower timeframes and strong daily downtrend warrant caution. Key levels to watch are the 0.56717 support and any nearby resistance that may emerge. If price fails to hold above support or momentum fades, the bounce could quickly reverse.
- ▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS, EMA, trendline) align in a bullish direction on the 30m timeframe.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (1h-12h) are bullish, with 4h and 12h showing solid trends.
- ▲ Support at 0.56717 is nearby, providing a clear invalidation level and potential bounce zone.
- ▼ The 1-day timeframe is strongly bearish, which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, indicating the bounce may be early or weak.
- ▼ Lack of a defined resistance level makes it hard to gauge upside potential.
- ▼ If price breaks below 0.56717 support, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.56717 | 2026-10-21 |
| S2 | 0.56532 | 2026-10-20 |
| S3 | 0.56518 | 2026-10-19 |