NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.18 %
Entry
0.57015
Target
0.57128 +0.20 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.56717 −0.52 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
NZD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 14%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.12
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.09
▲ SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.07
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.04
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.94
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.54
▼ SAR Flip Bearish indicator 1.51
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.47
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 1.34
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.29
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.26
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.13
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.06
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.01

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals on the 30m chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the daily trend is strongly bearish.
  • Higher timeframes (1h-12h) are bullish, providing some support for the long bias.
  • Watch the 0.56717 support level; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • Resistance is undefined, so upside potential is uncertain.
The NZD/USD 30-minute signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP zero cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, and WILLR OB entry, alongside retreats in the upper Bollinger Band, 50-period EMA, and a trendline. These together suggest a short-term upward push, likely a bounce within a broader context. The trend alignment is mixed: lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, while higher timeframes (1h through 12h) are bullish, with the 4h and 12h showing solid trends. The 1-day timeframe is strongly bearish, which adds a longer-term headwind. The nearest support sits at 0.56717; a break below this would invalidate the bullish case. Resistance levels are not provided, so upside targets are unclear, but the confluence of multiple indicators on the 30m chart supports a moderate-probability long entry.

Traders should view this as a counter-trend bounce against the daily bearish trend, with the bullish higher timeframes (1h-12h) lending some credibility. The signal's moderate strength and 71% probability suggest a reasonable edge, but the conflicting lower timeframes and strong daily downtrend warrant caution. Key levels to watch are the 0.56717 support and any nearby resistance that may emerge. If price fails to hold above support or momentum fades, the bounce could quickly reverse.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS, EMA, trendline) align in a bullish direction on the 30m timeframe.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1h-12h) are bullish, with 4h and 12h showing solid trends.
  • ▲ Support at 0.56717 is nearby, providing a clear invalidation level and potential bounce zone.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1-day timeframe is strongly bearish, which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, indicating the bounce may be early or weak.
  • ▼ Lack of a defined resistance level makes it hard to gauge upside potential.
  • ▼ If price breaks below 0.56717 support, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
Symbol NZD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 0.56717 2026-10-21
S2 0.56532 2026-10-20
S3 0.56518 2026-10-19

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