NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 04:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.29 %

Entry

0.56882

Target

0.57045 +0.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56717 −0.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit +8 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.10
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.85
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.85
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	1.36
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.28
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.16
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.15
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	0.60

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong oversold bounce signal on the 30M timeframe, with multiple indicators aligning.
Immediate resistance at 0.57045; a break could signal a larger reversal, but failure risks a pullback.
Higher timeframes are mostly bullish, but the daily trend is bearish—treat as a potential counter-trend move.
Watch the 0.56717 support as the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signal.

The 30-minute NZD/USD signal is overwhelmingly bullish, firing a cluster of oversold-exit and momentum indicators: BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, and CTI OS Entry, among others. This confluence suggests a strong snap-back from deeply oversold conditions, with the 200-period moving averages acting as dynamic support. The probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, indicating high conviction in the signal's immediate validity.

However, the higher timeframe trend is mixed. While the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes are bullish (solid or forming), the 15m, 30m, and 1h are bearish, and the 1d is strongly bearish. This suggests the bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The key resistance at 0.57045 is the immediate hurdle; a break above would confirm the bounce, while support at 0.56717 is the invalidation level. Traders should watch for momentum to carry through the resistance and for higher timeframe alignment to shift, as the daily bearish trend remains a significant headwind.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of oversold exit indicators (CCI, STOCH, WILLR, CTI) suggests exhausted downside momentum.
▲ EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreat up indicate dynamic support holding beneath price action.
▲ Multiple higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are bullish, providing a supportive macro context.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1-day timeframe is strongly bearish, which could overpower the intraday bounce.
▼ The 15m, 30m, and 1h trends are bearish and choppy, indicating near-term resistance to upside.
▼ If price fails to break 0.57045, the bounce may fizzle; a drop below 0.56717 would invalidate the signal.
▼ Fading momentum after the initial oversold pop could lead to a sideways consolidation.