USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 21:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.14 %

Entry

1.40471

Target

1.40821 +0.25 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.39845 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT SINE Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.38
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.38
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.34
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.06
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong short-term bullish momentum on 30M, but higher timeframes are bearish—this is a counter-trend trade.
Key resistance at 1.40821: a break above confirms the bounce; failure to break signals weakness.
Support at 1.40384 is the invalidation level—close below it cancels the bullish signal.
Expect choppy price action; keep position size small and use tight stops.

The 30-minute USD/CAD signal is strongly bullish (89% probability, very strong strength), backed by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators: ADX Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, HT SINE Zero Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up, HMA Direction Up, TTM TREND Trend Up, and a Belt Hold Bullish candlestick. This confluence suggests a short-term bounce or reversal attempt within a broader bearish context. However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) all show a solid to very strong bearish trend, with only the 15M and 30M showing choppy/sideways action. This creates a clear conflict: the immediate momentum favors buying, but the larger trend is firmly down.

Traders should treat this as a counter-trend scalp rather than a trend reversal. The nearest resistance at 1.40821 is the immediate upside target and a critical level—if price fails to break above it, the bullish signal loses validity. The nearest support at 1.40384 acts as the invalidation line; a close below this level would negate the bullish setup and likely resume the bearish trend. The probability and strength are high, but the alignment across timeframes is weak, so any long position should be tightly managed with a clear exit plan.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (STOCHF, KDJ, HT SINE, BOP) all fired upward crosses simultaneously, indicating strong momentum convergence.
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick adds a price-action confirmation of buying pressure.
▲ Very strong signal strength (89% probability) suggests high conviction in the short-term move.
▲ The 15M and 30M trends are choppy but bullish, hinting at a potential bottoming process.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are all bearish with solid to very strong trends—this is the dominant force and could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ If price fails to break above 1.40821, the bullish case weakens and a reversal back down is likely.
▼ A close below 1.40384 invalidates the signal and would likely trigger a sharp drop.
▼ Choppy/sideways action on the lower timeframes suggests low conviction; momentum could fade quickly.