USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 02:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.17 %

Entry

1.40417

Target

1.40177 +0.17 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40821 −0.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.25
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.93
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.74
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.47
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.42
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.39
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, SAR) fire together on the 30M chart, signaling a strong sell opportunity.
Bearish trend is consistent across all timeframes, with the strongest conviction in the 4H (4/5) and solid trends in 2H, 8H, 12H, and 1D.
Key levels: support at 1.40384 (downside target) and resistance at 1.40821 (invalidation zone).
Probability is 87% with very strong strength, but near-term choppiness (15M/30M) warrants caution.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and a WILLR OS Entry, alongside retreats from the EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, and MA, and a SAR Flip Bearish. This confluence indicates a coordinated shift in momentum and trend structure, with the composite probability at 87% and very strong strength. The bearish alignment is consistent across all timeframes, from 15 minutes to 1 day, with the strongest conviction in the 4-hour (4/5) and solid trends in the 2-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day frames, suggesting the move is not a mere short-term blip but part of a broader downtrend.

Traders should watch the nearest support at 1.40384 as the immediate downside target; a break could accelerate selling, while the nearest resistance at 1.40821 serves as the invalidation zone if price reclaims it. The alignment across multiple timeframes, especially the strong 4-hour trend, supports a sustained bearish outlook, but the choppy 15m and 30m trends (1/5) indicate near-term noise that could cause pullbacks. Overall, the signals point to a high-probability short opportunity, but prudent risk management is essential given the lower timeframe choppiness.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick, indicator) all pointing bearish.
▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with the 4H showing a very strong trend (4/5).
▼ The SAR flip and retreats from key trendlines (HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) confirm a shift in momentum.
▼ High probability (87%) and very strong strength signal a high-confidence setup.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy 15M and 30M trends (1/5) may cause false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 1.40821, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 4H trend weakens or higher timeframes (1D) lose conviction.
▲ Nearby support at 1.40384 may be tested, but a bounce could occur before a breakdown.