USD/CHF – 1D – SELL

SELL NEW
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.57 %
Entry
0.82048
Target
0.79494 +3.11 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.86090 −4.93 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Position
▲ Bullish 3 % (1.06) ▼ Bearish 97 % (29.65)
model score 13.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
USD/CHF  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.46
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.28
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.03
▼ T3 Retreat Down indicator 2.00
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.70
▼ MAMA Cross Down indicator 1.43
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.28
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.26
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.20
▲ KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.06
▼ Bearish Separating Lines candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators on the 1-day timeframe.
  • All timeframes align in the bearish direction, though shorter timeframes show trend formation.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.82065 and support at 0.79494; watch for breaks.
  • Probability is high (96%), but the 1-day trend is choppy, so expect possible consolidation.
The USD/CHF pair is exhibiting a strong bearish signal on the 1-day timeframe, with a very strong probability of 96%. The confluence of multiple indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, MAMA Cross Down, and MIDPOINT Retreat Down—points to a broad-based bearish momentum. This is further supported by the alignment of bearish trends across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, although the 1-day trend is choppy/sideways, indicating some near-term consolidation.

The nearest resistance at 0.82065 and support at 0.79494 define the immediate trading range. The bearish signals suggest a potential move toward the support level, but the choppy 1-day trend cautions against expecting a straight-line decline. The strong trend scores on the 4-hour timeframe (3/5) provide a solid foundation for the bearish outlook, while the lower scores on shorter timeframes indicate that the trend is still forming, so momentum may need to build. Traders should watch for a break below the support to confirm the bearish continuation, but also be mindful of the resistance level as a potential invalidation point if price reverses above it.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicator groups (BOP, STOCH, BBANDS, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) all firing bearish simultaneously.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with the 4-hour showing a solid trend (3/5).
  • ▼ The signal includes candlestick patterns, adding to the confluence.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance is well-defined, providing a clear invalidation level.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1-day trend is choppy/sideways (1/5), which could lead to range-bound action rather than a strong downtrend.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the resistance at 0.82065, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Shorter timeframes (15m-2h) show only trend formation (2/5), so momentum may be slow to develop.
  • ▲ Watch for potential bullish reversal signals on higher timeframes if the 1-day trend flips.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 1D
Direction SELL
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82065 2026-07-29
S1 0.79494 2026-08-20

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