USD/CHF – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-22 13:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.57 %

Entry

0.82048

Target

0.80672 +1.68 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83950 −2.32 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 253 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 253 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 15 % (3.83) ▼ Bearish 85 % (21.82)

model score 4.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	1.72
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.49
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.37
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.35
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.28
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.02
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.02
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.96
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.67
▼	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on USD/CHF with 85% probability and very strong trend score.
All timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, with 4H showing a solid trend, indicating a broad alignment.
Key levels: resistance at 0.83950 and support at 0.80672; watch for a break below support to confirm the downtrend.
The 1D timeframe is choppy, so expect possible consolidation; monitor for invalidation if price climbs back above the broken trendline.

The USD/CHF 8H signal is strongly bearish, with a very strong trend score and a high probability of 85%. The confluence of signals—trendline break down, ADX trend strong, BOP zero cross down, STOCH KD cross down, WILLR OS entry, and DEMA/EMA retreats—points to a well-established downtrend with multiple confirmations across indicator groups. The bearish alignment across all timeframes, from 15m to 12h, with the 4H showing a solid trend (3/5), supports the idea that the move is not just a short-term fluctuation but part of a broader directional shift. The 1D timeframe is choppy, but this is consistent with a developing trend rather than a contradiction.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 0.80672 and resistance at 0.83950. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a bounce off resistance could signal a pause. The strong trend scores and the presence of multiple trendline retreats suggest that the path of least resistance is lower. However, the 1D choppiness and the fact that the 8H itself is still 'trend forming' (2/5) mean that the move could be susceptible to consolidation. Traders should monitor the 4H and 8H timeframes for any shift in trend strength or a break back above the broken trendline, which would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple confirmations: trendline break, ADX trend strong, BOP zero cross, and stochastic cross down all align.
▼ Bearish trend across all timeframes, with the 4H showing a solid trend (3/5) providing a stronger foundation.
▼ Retreats in DEMA, EMA, and HT trendline indicate that the trend is being respected by key moving averages.
▼ WILLR OS entry suggests that the market is in oversold territory, which can precede continued downside in a strong trend.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways (1/5), which could indicate a lack of conviction on the higher timeframe, possibly leading to a pause or reversal.
▲ The 8H timeframe itself is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the trend is not yet fully established; strength could fade.
▲ If price breaks back above the broken trendline or reclaims the 0.83950 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS) could lead to a short-term bounce, so watch for a pullback before the next leg down.