USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW CLOSED

2026-10-22 00:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.21 %

Entry

158.163

Target

158.603 +0.28 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.838 −0.21 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, CTI OB Exit, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.67
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.48
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.43
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.40
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.27
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.55
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.43
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish indicators on the 1H timeframes suggests a coordinated upward push, but higher timeframes remain bearish.
Watch the 158.39100 resistance: a break above confirms the move; a rejection signals fading momentum.
Support at 157.83800 is the invalidation level — a close below negates the bullish setup.
The choppy/sideways trend scores (1/5) across most timeframes warn of low conviction; expect possible whipsaws.

The USD/JPY 1H signal fires a dense cluster of bullish indicators — BOP Zero Cross Up, DI/DM Cross Ups, STOCH KD Cross Up, and multiple retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MIDPOINT) — all converging at the same moment. This suggests a coordinated breakout attempt from a compressed or sideways structure, with the 94% probability and very strong strength reflecting a rare alignment of momentum and trend-following tools. However, the higher timeframes (2H to 12H) remain bearish, so this 1H push is likely a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend, not a reversal.

Trend alignment is mixed: the 15m to 1h timeframes show bullish but choppy/sideways action (low trend scores of 1/5), indicating weak directional conviction even in the signal's favor. The nearest resistance at 158.39100 is the immediate hurdle; a sustained close above it would validate the bullish impulse, while a failure to hold above support at 157.83800 would invalidate the setup. Given the bearish higher timeframes, this signal is best treated as a tactical long for a bounce, not a trend change.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) firing simultaneously, boosting signal reliability.
▲ Strong probability (94%) and very strong strength indicate high internal consistency among the signals.
▲ Retreat patterns (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MIDPOINT) suggest buying pressure is absorbing a pullback, a classic bullish setup.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are bearish, so this 1H bullish signal may be a counter-trend correction that could reverse quickly.
▼ Low trend scores (1/5) across most timeframes indicate choppy, sideways movement — the bullish momentum may lack follow-through.
▼ A loss of the 157.83800 support level would invalidate the signal and likely trigger a bearish continuation.
▼ The nearest resistance at 158.39100 is close; if it holds, the bullish impulse could stall.