USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.49 %
Entry
157.700
Target
158.344 +0.41 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.926 −0.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  30M
Loading…
Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 30m 100%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CMO OS Exit indicator 2.12
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.68
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.27
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 1.19

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bullish signals on the 30M chart point to a strong short-term reversal attempt.
  • The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce.
  • Watch the 158.34400 resistance: a break above would confirm bullish momentum.
  • The 157.69400 support is critical; losing it would invalidate the bullish signal.
The USD/JPY 30-minute signal cluster is overwhelmingly bullish, with five distinct signals firing simultaneously: BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, Bullish Harami, and a Spinning Top Bullish. This confluence suggests a strong short-term reversal attempt from oversold conditions, backed by candlestick patterns indicating a potential shift in momentum. However, the broader trend context is bearish across most timeframes (15m through 12h), with only the 1-day showing a weak bullish tilt. This creates a classic counter-trend setup: the immediate price action is pushing upward, but the higher timeframe trend is still bearish, meaning this could be a corrective bounce rather than a full trend reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.34400 and support at 157.69400. A sustained move above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, potentially aligning the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes toward a more constructive phase. Conversely, a failure to hold support would invalidate the reversal signal and likely resume the broader bearish drift. Given the very strong signal strength and 100% probability, the immediate bias is to favor the long side, but traders should respect the higher timeframe bearishness and manage risk accordingly.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of five signals (BOP, CMO, STOCHF, candlesticks) on the same timeframe.
  • ▲ Oversold exit (CMO OS Exit) suggests selling pressure is exhausting.
  • ▲ Bullish Harami and Spinning Top patterns indicate a potential reversal candle setup.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability add conviction to the long bias.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (15m to 12h) are bearish, which could overpower the 30M signal.
  • ▼ The 30M trend itself is choppy/sideways, indicating low trend quality.
  • ▼ A break below 157.69400 support would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ Momentum may fade if the bounce stalls near resistance without a clear break.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 03:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.34400 2026-10-21
R2 158.39100 2026-10-21
R3 158.60300 2026-10-20
S1 157.69400 2026-10-16

Tags

Similar Signals