USD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY 3× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: CMO OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +2 more
Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | CMO OS Exit | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.27 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami | candlestick | 1.19 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple bullish signals on the 30M chart point to a strong short-term reversal attempt.
- The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce.
- Watch the 158.34400 resistance: a break above would confirm bullish momentum.
- The 157.69400 support is critical; losing it would invalidate the bullish signal.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.34400 and support at 157.69400. A sustained move above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, potentially aligning the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes toward a more constructive phase. Conversely, a failure to hold support would invalidate the reversal signal and likely resume the broader bearish drift. Given the very strong signal strength and 100% probability, the immediate bias is to favor the long side, but traders should respect the higher timeframe bearishness and manage risk accordingly.
- ▲ Confluence of five signals (BOP, CMO, STOCHF, candlesticks) on the same timeframe.
- ▲ Oversold exit (CMO OS Exit) suggests selling pressure is exhausting.
- ▲ Bullish Harami and Spinning Top patterns indicate a potential reversal candle setup.
- ▲ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability add conviction to the long bias.
- ▼ Higher timeframe trends (15m to 12h) are bearish, which could overpower the 30M signal.
- ▼ The 30M trend itself is choppy/sideways, indicating low trend quality.
- ▼ A break below 157.69400 support would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ Momentum may fade if the bounce stalls near resistance without a clear break.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 158.34400 | 2026-10-21 |
| R2 | 158.39100 | 2026-10-21 |
| R3 | 158.60300 | 2026-10-20 |
| S1 | 157.69400 | 2026-10-16 |