USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 19:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.22 %

Entry

158.188

Target

157.838 +0.22 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.603 −0.26 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, KDJ Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.4 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 581 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.21
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.75
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.69
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.64
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.38

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH, KDJ, ZSCORE) confirm a short-term bearish reversal from overbought conditions.
The 30-minute signal is strong, but higher timeframes are mostly bullish and choppy, so the sell is likely a pullback, not a major trend change.
Watch 157.83800 support: a break below could trigger further downside, while holding it may lead to a bounce.
Resistance at 158.39100 is the immediate ceiling; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.

The USD/JPY 30-minute SELL signal is supported by a cluster of indicator-based triggers: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, along with a Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 24%. These signals collectively point to a short-term bearish reversal from an overbought condition, with the ZSCORE extreme high exit suggesting price had moved far above its mean and is now correcting. The DX Trend Strong confirms a moderate bearish momentum on the 30-minute timeframe, though the overall trend across higher timeframes is mixed: the 2H and 4H are bearish (with the 2H showing a forming trend), while the 15m, 30m, 1H, 12H, and 1D are all bullish but choppy/sideways. This creates a conflict between the immediate bearish impulse and the broader bullish bias, meaning the sell signal is likely a tactical pullback within a larger range rather than a sustained downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.39100 and support at 157.83800. A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while holding above it could see the pair revert to the prevailing bullish drift. The signal's probability of 74% and moderate strength suggest a reasonable edge, but the choppy nature of higher timeframes and the lack of trend alignment beyond the 2H/4H mean that traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity with tight risk management.

Catalysts

▼ Cluster of six indicator signals all pointing down (BOP, STOCH, KDJ, ER, WILLR, ZSCORE) provides strong confluence.
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 24% suggests a meaningful price level has been breached, adding technical weight.
▼ The 2H and 4H timeframes are bearish, offering some alignment with the sell direction.
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicates price was stretched above its average, often preceding a mean reversion.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m to 1H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The choppy/sideways conditions across most timeframes suggest low trend conviction, so momentum may fade quickly.
▲ If price holds above 157.83800 support, the sell could stall and reverse into the prevailing bullish bias.
▲ A break back above 158.39100 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and likely trigger a squeeze.