USD/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW CLOSED

2026-10-22 13:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.26 %

Entry

156.776

Target

156.376 +0.26 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.949 −1.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price

So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 253 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 253 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down, KAMA Break Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.14
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.13
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.07
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.88
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.82
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.72
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.60
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	1.54
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	1.51
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.39
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.35
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.27
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.08
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment on 8H with multiple down-cross/break signals.
Lower timeframes (15m-2h) show solid bearish trends, supporting near-term downside.
Higher timeframes (8H-1D) are choppy, so the trend may lack long-term confirmation.
Watch for a break below 156.37600 to confirm; reclaim of 158.94900 would invalidate.

The USD/JPY 8H signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 92% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of down-crossing and breakdown indicators including STOCH KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Break Down, MA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, and MIDPOINT Break Down. This confluence suggests that multiple trend-following and momentum systems are aligned in the same direction, pointing to a high-conviction sell setup on the 8H timeframe.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent but with varying degrees of confidence. The 15m through 2h timeframes show solid trends (3/5), while the 4h is forming (2/5), and the 8H, 12H, and 1D are choppy/sideways (1/5). This indicates that the strongest momentum is in the lower timeframes, while the higher timeframes are less decisive. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.94900 and nearest support at 156.37600. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the sell signal.

Catalysts

▼ High probability (92%) and very strong strength signal.
▼ Confluence of numerous bearish indicators (STOCH, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT).
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, even if weaker on higher TFs.
▼ Proximity to resistance at 158.94900, which may act as a ceiling.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8H-1D) are only choppy/sideways, suggesting the trend may not be fully established.
▲ The nearest support at 156.37600 is far, so a pullback could occur before reaching it.
▲ If price reclaims 158.94900, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade if lower timeframe trends weaken from solid to forming.