AUD/CAD – 1H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
4 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %
Entry
0.98509
Target
0.98878 +0.37 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98075 −0.44 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: QQE Midline Cross Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, ALMA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +10% Intraday
▲ Bullish 94 % (42.46) ▼ Bearish 6 % (2.67)
model score 94.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1h 94%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up indicator 1.97
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.78
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 1.74
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.66
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.64
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.60
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.57
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.56
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.56
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.55
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.51
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.39
▲ MAMA Cross Up indicator 1.15
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 0.92

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bullish indicators fired on the 1H, signaling a strong short-term bounce.
  • Higher timeframes (2H through 1D) remain bearish, suggesting this could be a corrective rally.
  • Key resistance at 0.98878 must be broken to shift the broader outlook; support at 0.98075 is the invalidation level.
  • The 1H trend score is still bearish, so caution is warranted despite the signal strength.
AUD/CAD on the 1H timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, MAMA Cross Up, and MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, among others. The sheer number of indicators aligning suggests a powerful short-term momentum shift, with multiple trend-following and retracement tools confirming a bounce from the 1H bearish trend. However, the broader timeframes remain predominantly bearish: the 1H itself is still bearish (trend score 3/5), and the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all show bearish bias. This creates a classic lower-timeframe pullback within a larger downtrend, meaning the rally may be corrective rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.98878 and nearest support at 0.98075. A break above resistance would challenge the bearish structure, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish signal. Traders should monitor whether the 1H trend score improves from bearish to neutral or bullish, as that would lend more weight to the upside. The confluence of indicators on the 1H is strong, but the higher timeframe alignment argues against sustained bullish momentum.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Dense cluster of 12 bullish signals on the 1H, including STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, MAMA Cross Up, and MAMA PRICE Retreat Up.
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes show bullish bias, supporting the immediate upward move.
  • ▲ Nearest support at 0.98075 has held, providing a floor for the bounce.
  • ▲ Signal probability of 95% and very strong strength indicate high conviction in the short-term setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H through 1D) are all bearish, which may cap the rally and favor a continuation of the downtrend.
  • ▼ The 1H trend score remains bearish (3/5), meaning the bullish signals are firing against the prevailing trend.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 0.98878 is a nearby barrier that could stall or reverse the move.
  • ▼ If the 15m or 30m bullish momentum fades, the corrective bounce could fail quickly.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98878 2026-10-21
R2 0.99664 2026-10-14
R3 0.99693 2026-10-12
S1 0.98075 2026-10-23
S2 0.97907 2026-10-15

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