AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.16 %
Entry
0.98285
Target
0.97907 +0.38 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98878 −0.60 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 13%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 2.19
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.19
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.13
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.74
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 1.09
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 1.07
▲ Takuri Line candlestick 1.02

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple moving average retreats and a BOP zero cross down signal strong bearish momentum on the 1H timeframe.
  • Bearish trends align across timeframes from 15m to 8h, but higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are choppy and lack clear direction.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.98878 and support at 0.98114; a break below support confirms bearish continuation.
  • The MACD signal cross up suggests a possible short-term bounce, so watch for price action near resistance.
The 1H AUD/CAD signal is strongly bearish, with an 85% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) and a BOP zero cross down indicate persistent selling pressure. The MACD signal cross up, however, suggests a potential short-term bounce within the broader downtrend. The alignment of bearish trends across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h timeframes supports the bearish outlook, though the 12h and 1d timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of higher-timeframe confirmation.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.98878 and support at 0.98114. A break below support would reinforce the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance could signal a reversal. The trend scores are strongest at 30m and 1h (3/5), suggesting the current move is most reliable on these timeframes. Traders should watch for the MACD cross to resolve—if it leads to a sustained bounce, it could undermine the bearish signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of six moving average retreats and a BOP zero cross down.
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across multiple timeframes (15m to 8h).
  • ▼ Strong trend scores (3/5) on 30m and 1h timeframes.
  • ▼ Probability of 85% and very strong signal strength.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) show choppy/sideways action, which may limit the sustainability of the move.
  • ▲ The MACD signal cross up could indicate waning downside momentum and a potential bounce.
  • ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.98878, the bearish thesis is weakened.
  • ▲ Watch for a break below support at 0.98114 to confirm; failure to do so may lead to range-bound trading.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 13%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98878 2026-10-21
R2 0.99664 2026-10-14
R3 0.99693 2026-10-12
S1 0.98114 2026-10-20
S2 0.97907 2026-10-15

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