AUD/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.30 %
Entry
0.98285
Target
0.98878 +0.60 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.97907 −0.38 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 10 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, HMA Break Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +7% Intraday
▲ Bullish 97 % (61.17) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.74)
model score 97.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 11 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 11 × 2h 97%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ZLMA Break Up indicator 2.04
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.77
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 1.77
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.73
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.25
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 0.85
▲ Takuri Line candlestick 0.74

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful bullish reversal signal fires on the 2H chart, but it is counter-trend against a broad bearish bias across all timeframes.
  • The cluster of indicators (CCI, STOCH, BBANDS, HMA, ZLMA, candlesticks) all align for a strong bounce attempt from oversold conditions.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.98878 and support at 0.98114; a break above resistance would strengthen the case, while losing support would invalidate the signal.
  • Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, suggesting limited downside momentum but not yet confirming a reversal.
The AUD/CAD 2H signal fires a dense cluster of bullish indicators at 2026-10-23 04:00 UTC, including CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, HMA Break Up, ZLMA Break Up, and two bullish candlesticks (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line). This confluence suggests a strong, high-probability reversal attempt from oversold conditions, with momentum shifting upward as price breaks above key moving averages. The probability is rated 100% and strength very strong, indicating exceptional alignment among the indicators on the 2H timeframe.

However, the broader trend context is notably bearish across all timeframes, from 15m to 1d, with trend scores ranging from 1/5 to 3/5. The higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, while intermediate timeframes show solid or forming bearish trends. This creates a conflict: the 2H signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.98878 is a critical ceiling; a break above it would confirm the reversal, while failure to hold above support at 0.98114 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should watch for sustained price action above the 2H moving averages and a shift in higher timeframe trend scores toward neutral or bullish.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Exceptional confluence of multiple independent indicators (oscillator, stochastic, bands, moving averages, candlesticks) all firing bullish simultaneously.
  • ▲ The Dragonfly Doji and Takuri Line are strong reversal candlesticks, often appearing at market bottoms.
  • ▲ Oversold conditions (CCI OS Exit) and a stochastic cross up suggest momentum is shifting from selling to buying.
  • ▲ The 2H signal's very strong strength and 100% probability indicate high internal consistency.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The overall trend is bearish on all timeframes, so this could be a temporary bounce within a larger downtrend; watch for the 2H price to fail above resistance.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trend scores (12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, indicating no clear bullish foundation yet.
  • ▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 0.98114, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
  • ▼ Counter-trend signals often fade quickly; a lack of follow-through on the 2H chart would signal a false breakout.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98878 2026-10-21
R2 0.99664 2026-10-14
R3 0.99757 2026-10-09
S1 0.98114 2026-10-20
S2 0.97907 2026-10-15

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