AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED
18 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.10 %
Entry
0.98345
Target
0.98075 +0.27 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98803 −0.47 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, KAMA Break Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 8%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 2.67
▼ KAMA Break Down indicator 2.32
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 2.03
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.84
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.61
▼ ZLMA Break Down indicator 1.46
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 1.39
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.37
▲ MAMA Cross Up indicator 1.31
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.18
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.16
▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick 1.04

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on the 30M timeframe with 87% probability and very strong strength.
  • Multiple indicators (STOCH, BBANDS, EMA, KAMA, SMA, HT SINE) confirm the downtrend.
  • Bearish alignment from 1H to 8H, but 12H and 1D are choppy/sideways, limiting trend conviction.
  • Watch key levels: resistance at 0.98458, support at 0.98075.
The 30-minute SELL signal on AUD/CAD is backed by a broad cluster of bearish indicators, including STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, KAMA Break Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, and HT SINE Cross Up. This confluence suggests that multiple trend-following and momentum tools are aligning to the downside, with the HT TRENDMODE shifting to cycle mode indicating a potential regime change. The signal strength is very strong at 87% probability, adding conviction to the bearish stance.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is consistent from 1H up to 8H, with the 1H showing a solid trend (3/5) while higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, suggesting the broader trend lacks strong momentum but is not conflicting. The nearest resistance at 0.98458 and support at 0.98075 define the immediate trading range; a break below support could accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish bias. The combination of indicator confluence and multi-timeframe bearish alignment supports the SELL signal, though the choppy higher timeframes warrant caution.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of over 10 bearish signals across indicator, fibonacci, and candlestick groups.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes supports the bearish direction.
  • ▼ HT TRENDMODE shift to cycle mode suggests a potential trend change.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability increase confidence.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, indicating lack of strong trend support.
  • ▲ The 30M and 15M timeframes are still bullish (trend forming), which could counter the sell signal.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 0.98458 resistance, the bearish thesis weakens.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the signal does not follow through within the next few bars.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 8%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 07:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98458 2026-10-22
R2 0.98803 2026-10-22
R3 0.98878 2026-10-21
S1 0.98075 2026-10-23

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