AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL
SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +11 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | KST Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | TSI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▲ | VORTEX Cross Up | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.12 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 1.05 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 0.98 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.98 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A very strong SELL signal on the 30M timeframe with 91% probability, backed by multiple retreat indicators and a bearish BOP cross.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, but strongest on the 30M and 1H, while higher timeframes are choppy—so this may be a short-term move.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 0.98458; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup, while support at 0.98192 is the immediate downside target.
- The STOCH KD cross up warns of a possible brief bounce, but the overall momentum remains bearish.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent but not uniformly strong: the 30M and 1H show solid trends (3/5), while the 15M, 2H, 8H are forming (2/5). The higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways (1/5), which suggests that the current bearish move is a shorter-term event rather than a multi-day reversal. The nearest support at 0.98192 is the immediate target; a break below could extend the decline, but the lack of alignment in higher timeframes warrants caution.
- ▼ Multiple retreat signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) all align to the downside, creating strong confluence.
- ▼ The BOP zero cross down confirms bearish momentum, and the STOCH KD cross up is a minor counter-signal within the trend.
- ▼ Solid trend scores on the 30M and 1H timeframes (3/5) support the validity of the move.
- ▼ The proximity of resistance at 0.98458 provides a clear level to defend the bearish case.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, which could mean the bearish move is not sustained and may reverse quickly.
- ▲ The STOCH KD cross up indicates a potential short-term bounce that could test the resistance before continuing lower.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 0.98458 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and a bounce could lead to a squeeze.
- ▲ The trend is only 'forming' on several timeframes, so momentum may be fragile; a failure to break support could lead to sideways consolidation.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.98458 | 2026-10-22 |
| R2 | 0.98803 | 2026-10-22 |
| R3 | 0.98878 | 2026-10-21 |
| S1 | 0.98192 | 2026-10-22 |
| S2 | 0.98114 | 2026-10-20 |