AUD/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-23 01:00 UTC 23 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.43 %

Entry

0.98152

Target

0.97907 +0.25 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99664 −1.54 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 4 % (1.24) ▼ Bearish 96 % (27.95)

model score 2.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	2.07
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.34
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.88
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.60

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal on 4H, backed by multiple indicator groups and consistent trend across most timeframes.
Key resistance to watch is 0.99664; a break above would invalidate the signal.
Support at 0.98114 is the immediate downside target; watch for a break to confirm continuation.
The 1H timeframe shows the strongest trend, providing the most reliable confirmation.

The 4H AUD/CAD signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and WILLR OS Entry, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, MA) and a trendline retreat. This confluence points to a strong, broad-based rejection of higher prices, with momentum and volatility measures aligning to confirm the bearish case. The candlestick and indicator groups both contribute, reinforcing that the move is not solely momentum-driven but also reflects structural price behavior.

Across timeframes, the bearish sentiment is consistent from 15m up to 8H, with the 1H timeframe showing a solid trend (3/5) as the strongest confirmation. The 12H and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, which suggests the larger trend is still developing, but the shorter-term alignment is sufficient to support the 4H signal. The nearest resistance at 0.99664 is the immediate invalidation zone—any sustained push above it would weaken the bearish case. The nearest support at 0.98114 is the next major target, and a break there would open the path for further downside.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator confluence: BOP, STOCH, WILLR, and several moving-average retreats all align bearish.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 8H timeframes, with 1H showing a solid trend.
▼ Candlestick and indicator groups both firing, adding structural weight to the signal.
▼ Very strong strength score (85% probability) increases confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, indicating the larger trend is not yet established.
▲ Resistance at 0.99664 is close; a push above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 1H trend weakens, as it is the strongest confirmation.
▲ Watch for any reversal patterns near support that could signal a bounce.