AUD/JPY – 12H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-22 21:00 UTC 17 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.34 %

Entry

109.982

Target

112.613 +2.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.634 −1.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CTI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +5.7 vs previous candle

STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 84 % (18.93) ▼ Bearish 16 % (3.51)

model score 84.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.16
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.91
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	1.23

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals are firing against a predominantly bearish trend across timeframes, reducing confidence.
The MACD Signal Cross Down and SAR Flip Bearish conflict with the bullish crossovers, indicating mixed momentum.
Watch the 112.61300 resistance; a break above could strengthen the bullish case, while support at 108.63400 is the invalidation level.
Given the weak probability (58%) and choppy 12H trend, confirmation from higher timeframes or price action is advisable.

The AUD/JPY 12H signal fires a BUY with a weak 58% probability, driven by a cluster of indicator crossovers and a candlestick pattern. The APO Zero Cross Up and BOP Zero Cross Up suggest a shift in momentum and balance of power, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up adds a short-term stochastic confirmation. However, the MACD Signal Cross Down and SAR Flip Bearish introduce conflicting signals, indicating that the bullish momentum may be fragile. The Gapping Down Doji and CTI OB Exit further complicate the picture, hinting at potential exhaustion or a false start.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with the 1H and 2H showing solid bearish trends, while the 12H itself is choppy and sideways. This misalignment means the BUY signal is counter to the broader trend, reducing its reliability. The nearest resistance at 112.61300 is a key barrier; a break above could validate the bullish attempt, while the support at 108.63400 remains critical—if price falls below, the bullish case is invalidated. The weak probability and conflicting indicators suggest traders should wait for further confirmation before acting.

Catalysts

▲ APO and BOP zero cross ups suggest early momentum shift in favor of buyers.
▲ STOCHF KD cross up adds a short-term stochastic confirmation of upward pressure.
▲ The Gapping Down Doji may indicate a potential reversal if followed by bullish follow-through.
▲ The signal cluster includes multiple indicators crossing simultaneously, increasing the likelihood of a short-term bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, with 1H and 2H showing solid downtrends, which could overpower the weak bullish signal.
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down and SAR Flip Bearish are bearish signals that contradict the BUY direction, suggesting fading momentum.
▼ A drop below the 108.63400 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the bearish trend.
▼ The 12H timeframe itself is choppy and sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction and higher risk of false signals.