AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.31 %
Entry
110.006
Target
111.308 +1.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.677 −0.30 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 23%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.41
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.84
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.71
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.69
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.64
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.57
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.51
▲ TEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.41
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.30
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.17
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.06
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 0.87
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 0.82
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 0.75

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 1H with 94% probability, but higher timeframes are bearish.
  • Watch for a break above 111.308 resistance to confirm bullish momentum.
  • Invalidation level is below 109.677 support; a break there negates the signal.
  • Trade with caution: this may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.
The AUD/JPY 1H signal fires a dense cluster of bullish indicators (BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, MACD Signal Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, TEMA Retreat Up, ER Level Cross Down, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, plus six more) with a very strong probability of 94%. This suggests a strong, multi-indicator confluence pointing to a short-term bounce or reversal. However, the higher timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h, 4h) are still bearish, with the 1H and 30M showing very strong bearish trends. This creates a classic conflict: the 1H signal is bullish, but the broader trend is bearish. The signal likely represents a counter-trend correction or the early stages of a reversal, but the bearish higher timeframes argue for caution.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.308 and support at 109.677. A break above resistance would confirm bullish momentum and potentially shift the higher timeframes, while a break below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. The 15M timeframe is bullish (solid trend), which supports the immediate bounce, but the lack of bullish alignment above 1H means the signal is best treated as a tactical opportunity within a larger bearish context. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the trend scores on the 2H and 4H for any shift toward bullish alignment.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multi-indicator confluence: over 10 bullish signals fired simultaneously.
  • ▲ 15M timeframe shows bullish trend, supporting immediate upside.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (94%) indicates high conviction in the setup.
  • ▲ Key resistance at 111.308 is nearby; a break could trigger further upside.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H) are strongly bearish, conflicting with the signal.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above support at 109.677, the signal is invalidated.
  • ▼ Counter-trend moves often fade quickly; watch for momentum stalls near resistance.
  • ▼ Trend scores on 4H and above are weak or choppy, indicating no broader bullish shift yet.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 23%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 01:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.30800 2026-10-22
S1 109.67700 2026-10-22
S2 109.62800 2026-10-16
S3 108.63400 2026-10-15

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