AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-23 03:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.27 %

Entry

110.054

Target

109.677 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.308 −1.14 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.64
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.56
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.42
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.94
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.69

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 1H with multiple indicators confirming downside momentum.
Trend alignment is solid from 30m to 2h, but higher timeframes (8h/12h) are choppy, so the move may be limited in scope.
Watch the key support at 109.67700; a break below could extend the decline, while a move above resistance at 111.30800 would invalidate the signal.
The 15m bullish trend is weak and likely to flip, so expect continued downside pressure on the lower timeframe.

The 1H AUD/JPY signal is strongly bearish, with a 94% probability and a very strong trend score. A cluster of indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS Middle Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, and SMA 200 Retreat Down—collectively confirm a downward shift in momentum and trend structure. This confluence of momentum, volatility, and trend-following tools points to a coordinated bearish push, with the 1H timeframe leading the charge.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent: 30m, 1h, and 2h all show solid to very strong downtrends, while 4h and 1d are forming bearish trends. The 15m is still bullish but only a weak trend (2/5), and the 8h/12h are choppy, suggesting the higher timeframes are not fully aligned yet. This means the bearish move is primarily a lower-timeframe phenomenon, which can still be tradable but may lack the depth of a multi-timeframe breakdown. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 111.30800 and support at 109.67700. A break below support would reinforce the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator confluence: BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, and several moving averages all point down.
▼ Trend scores are very strong on the 1H and solid on 30m/2h, reinforcing the bearish direction.
▼ The signal is firing at a time when the 4H and 1D are also forming bearish trends, suggesting potential for longer-term continuation.
▼ The nearest resistance is well above current price, giving room for downside before any major pushback.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy and sideways, which could mean the bearish move is just a pullback within a larger range.
▲ The 15M is still bullish, albeit weak; if it strengthens, it could stall the downside.
▲ A move above the nearest resistance at 111.30800 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum could fade if the trend scores on 4H and 1D do not improve, leading to a consolidation instead of a clean drop.