AUD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-23 17:00 UTC 4 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.00 %

Entry

110.355

Target

111.308 +0.86 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.634 −1.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, EMA Break Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +20% Intraday

▲ Bullish 97 % (30.48) ▼ Bearish 3 % (0.99)

model score 8.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.49
▲	EMA Break Up	indicator	2.46
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.36
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.28
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.28
▲	WMA Break Up	indicator	2.22
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.19
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	1.13
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.99

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 2H bullish signal with multiple moving average and momentum confirmations.
Higher timeframes (1H-1D) are bearish, so this is a counter-trend move.
Key resistance at 111.308; a break above confirms, while support at 108.634 is the invalidation level.
Trade with caution: the trend is not aligned across timeframes, so position size and stop placement are critical.

The 2H AUD/JPY signal is strongly bullish (96% probability, very strong) with a cluster of moving average and momentum indicators aligning: DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Break Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, WMA Break Up, plus CTI OB Entry and RSX Midline Cross Up, alongside candlestick patterns. This suggests a fresh upside push is forming on the 2H timeframe. However, the higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are all bearish, which creates a conflict: the 2H bullish signal is a counter-trend move against the broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 111.308 is the immediate hurdle; a break above would confirm the signal, while the nearest support at 108.634 is the invalidation zone if the move fails.

The bullish momentum is supported by the very strong signal strength and the confluence of multiple indicator types, but the higher timeframe bearish trend is a major risk. The 30M and 15M are also bullish, but the 15M trend is only forming (2/5), indicating early stage. The 1H and 4H bearish trends suggest that the 2H signal may be a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend. Traders should watch the 111.308 resistance closely; a rejection there would align with the higher timeframe bearish bias. Conversely, a sustained break above could shift the higher timeframes, but currently the odds favor a short-term long opportunity with tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Very strong signal strength (96% probability) with a cluster of over 10 indicators.
▲ Confluence of moving average retreats and breaks (DEMA, EMA, WMA) plus momentum (CTI, RSX) and candlestick patterns.
▲ Immediate support at 108.634 provides a clear invalidation level, allowing for defined risk.
▲ Short-term timeframes (15M, 30M) are bullish, supporting the immediate move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H-1D) are all bearish, which could overpower the 2H signal.
▼ The 2H signal may be a temporary bounce within a larger downtrend; watch for rejection at 111.308.
▼ Trend scores on higher timeframes are low (1-2/5), indicating choppy or forming trends, not strong bearishness, but still conflicting.
▼ If price fails to hold above support and breaks 108.634, the signal is invalidated and a bearish continuation is likely.