AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.11 %
Entry
109.856
Target
110.364 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.285 −0.52 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 3%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 2.24
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.03
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.69
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.61
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.41
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.29
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.27
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.03
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 0.99
▲ Closing Marubozu Bullish candlestick 0.62

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bullish indicators fired on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a strong short-term bounce from oversold conditions.
  • All timeframes are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 110.36400 and support at 109.67700; a break above resistance signals strength, while losing support invalidates the bounce.
  • The 82% probability and strong signal strength support the bounce, but higher timeframe bearishness warrants caution.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI exiting oversold, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR oversold exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Up, and KST Signal Cross Down, alongside candlestick patterns. This suggests a strong short-term momentum shift from oversold conditions, likely triggering a bounce. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 30-minute and 1-hour trends showing very strong bearish momentum (4/5 strength). The confluence of these signals points to a potential counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend, which could be short-lived unless higher timeframes start to align.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 110.36400 and support at 109.67700. A break above resistance would indicate strengthening bullish momentum, but failure to hold above support would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the dominant downtrend. The probability of 82% with strong signal strength suggests the bounce is likely, but traders should be cautious given the bearish higher timeframe context. The 4-hour and 1-day trends are only forming (2/5), so any bullish reversal may need time to develop.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillator indicators (RSI, Stochastic, Williams %R) exiting oversold simultaneously, indicating strong buying pressure.
  • ▲ Crossovers in BOP, STOCH, KDJ, and KST confirm momentum shift, increasing confluence.
  • ▲ Candlestick patterns add to the signal, reinforcing the likelihood of a bounce.
  • ▲ Strong signal strength and high probability (82%) suggest the bounce has solid momentum behind it.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes (especially 30m and 1h with 4/5 strength) could overwhelm the bounce, making it short-lived.
  • ▼ If the price fails to hold above the nearest support at 109.67700, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 110.36400 is a nearby opposing level that could cap the bounce, especially if higher timeframes remain bearish.
  • ▼ Fading momentum in the bounce could occur if the higher timeframes (4h, 1d) do not show bullish alignment, as they are only trend forming.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 00:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 110.36400 2026-10-22
R2 111.30800 2026-10-22
S1 109.67700 2026-10-22

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