AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +6 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.57 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.45 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.26 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▲ | RSX OS Exit | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | Takuri Line | candlestick | 1.36 |
| ▲ | SMI Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▲ | Dragonfly Doji | candlestick | 1.33 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.14 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 0.99 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 0.96 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami Cross | candlestick | 0.79 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple bearish signals fired on the 30M chart, including BOP Zero Cross Down and CCI OS Exit, indicating a shift to downside momentum.
- Trend is consistently bearish from 15M to 2H, with very strong trend scores on 30M and 1H, supporting the sell signal.
- Key levels: support at 109.67700 and resistance at 110.36400; watch for a break below support to confirm the move.
- Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy, so the bearish move may lack longer-term conviction; wait for confirmation.
Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 109.67700 and resistance at 110.36400. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal and likely accelerate the decline, while a bounce off support could signal a false breakdown. The confluence of multiple indicator groups—candlestick and indicator—adds weight to the signal, but the moderate strength and 67% probability suggest that traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation. The trend across timeframes is mostly aligned, but the choppy higher timeframes (8H and 12H) introduce uncertainty, so any move should be monitored for sustainability.
- ▼ Strong trend alignment across 15M to 2H timeframes, with very strong scores on 30M and 1H.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) all pointing bearish.
- ▼ Bearish trend forming on 4H and 1D timeframes, suggesting potential for a longer-term downtrend.
- ▼ Retreat down signals from multiple moving averages (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) confirm downward pressure.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy and sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend that could lead to a false signal.
- ▲ If price fails to break below support at 109.67700, the bearish signal may be invalidated and a bounce could occur.
- ▲ Moderate strength (67% probability) means the signal is not high-confidence; a reversal could happen if momentum fades.
- ▲ Watch for any bullish reversal patterns or a break above resistance at 110.36400, which would negate the bearish outlook.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 110.36400 | 2026-10-22 |
| R2 | 111.30800 | 2026-10-22 |
| S1 | 109.67700 | 2026-10-22 |