AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.01 %
Entry
109.847
Target
109.637 +0.19 %
closes in profit
Stop
110.364 −0.47 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 93%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.57
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.46
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.45
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.32
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.26
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 2.14
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.09
▲ RSX OS Exit indicator 1.80
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.70
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.43
▲ Takuri Line candlestick 1.36
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.34
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 1.33
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.14
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 0.99
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 0.96
▼ Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 0.79

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals fired on the 30M chart, including BOP Zero Cross Down and CCI OS Exit, indicating a shift to downside momentum.
  • Trend is consistently bearish from 15M to 2H, with very strong trend scores on 30M and 1H, supporting the sell signal.
  • Key levels: support at 109.67700 and resistance at 110.36400; watch for a break below support to confirm the move.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy, so the bearish move may lack longer-term conviction; wait for confirmation.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OS Exit, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA). These indicators collectively point to a loss of bullish momentum and the start of a downward move. The trend is consistently bearish across the 15-minute to 2-hour timeframes, with very strong trend scores on the 30-minute and 1-hour charts, reinforcing that the sell signal is well-supported in the short term. The 4-hour and 1-day timeframes show a trend forming, suggesting that the bearish move may have longer-term potential, though the 8-hour and 12-hour charts are choppy and sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction on those higher timeframes.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 109.67700 and resistance at 110.36400. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal and likely accelerate the decline, while a bounce off support could signal a false breakdown. The confluence of multiple indicator groups—candlestick and indicator—adds weight to the signal, but the moderate strength and 67% probability suggest that traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation. The trend across timeframes is mostly aligned, but the choppy higher timeframes (8H and 12H) introduce uncertainty, so any move should be monitored for sustainability.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong trend alignment across 15M to 2H timeframes, with very strong scores on 30M and 1H.
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) all pointing bearish.
  • ▼ Bearish trend forming on 4H and 1D timeframes, suggesting potential for a longer-term downtrend.
  • ▼ Retreat down signals from multiple moving averages (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) confirm downward pressure.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy and sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend that could lead to a false signal.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below support at 109.67700, the bearish signal may be invalidated and a bounce could occur.
  • ▲ Moderate strength (67% probability) means the signal is not high-confidence; a reversal could happen if momentum fades.
  • ▲ Watch for any bullish reversal patterns or a break above resistance at 110.36400, which would negate the bearish outlook.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 01:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 110.36400 2026-10-22
R2 111.30800 2026-10-22
S1 109.67700 2026-10-22

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