AUD/USD – 12H – BUY

BUY NEW
2 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %
Entry
0.70367
Target
0.72374 +2.85 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.68941 −2.03 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 9
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Position
▲ Bullish 100 % (25.93) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/USD  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.46
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.09
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 2.01
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.72
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.71
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.53
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.46
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.15
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.14
▲ Bullish Separating Lines candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • All 12H indicators align bullish with very strong momentum.
  • Upside target is the nearest resistance at 0.72374.
  • Longer-term 1D trend is bearish, so watch for resistance near that level.
  • Support at 0.68941 is the key invalidation level if momentum fades.
The AUD/USD 12H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators. The BOP zero cross up, STOCH KD cross up, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA, MAMA, SMA) all align to confirm upward momentum, while the ER level cross up and HMA direction up reinforce the trend. The TTM TREND up adds further confirmation. This confluence across indicator groups suggests a robust bullish push on the 12H timeframe, with the nearest resistance at 0.72374 acting as the immediate upside target.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bullish from 15m up to 12H, though trend strength is moderate (mostly 1-2/5) and choppy on several timeframes. The 1D timeframe is bearish, which poses a potential conflict and could cap upside or lead to pullbacks. The nearest support at 0.68941 is well below current prices, providing a wide safety net. Key levels to watch are the resistance at 0.72374 for a breakout and the support at 0.68941 for invalidation, but given the strong signal, a break above resistance could extend the move.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA, MAMA, SMA) confirm upward price action.
  • ▲ BOP and STOCH cross-ups signal strong buying pressure.
  • ▲ Consistent bullish bias across all timeframes up to 12H.
  • ▲ High signal probability (100%) and very strong strength increase conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe (1D) is bearish, which could cap upside or trigger a reversal.
  • ▼ Several timeframes show choppy/sideways trends, indicating weak trend persistence.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above 0.72374, momentum could stall.
  • ▼ Watch for a break below the nearest support at 0.68941, which would invalidate the bullish signal.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 12H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.72374 2026-09-09
S1 0.68941 2026-10-15
S2 0.68649 2026-06-30

Tags

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