AVAX/USDT – 12H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-23 00:00 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.83 %

Entry

9.2030

Target

11.7300 +27.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

7.1690 −22.10 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average +0.05 % per trade 577 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 577 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.29 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.91 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.82 % 16 % at stop avg −6.55 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, Inverted Hammer, BOP Zero Cross Up

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.0 % ↓ −28.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 100 % (2.09) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 16.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.7 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 45.7 % vs 22.3 % (crypto, 3,005 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 12:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.06
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.95
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.86

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals fired on 12H, but all timeframes are bearish—conflicting context.
Watch for a break above 11.73000 resistance to confirm bullish momentum.
Support at 7.16900 is the invalidation level; a break below negates the signal.
Signal strength is very strong, but trend alignment is poor, so caution is advised.

The 12H signal fires a bullish cluster on AVA/XUSDT: a BOP Zero Cross Up, an STOCHF KD Cross Up, and an Inverted Hammer candlestick. Together, these indicate a potential shift from bearish momentum to an early bullish reversal, with the Inverted Hammer suggesting sellers are losing control. The signal strength is very strong (100% probability), yet the broader trend context is uniformly bearish across all timeframes (15m through 1d), with trend scores mostly at 2/5 (forming) and only the 8H at 3/5 (solid). This creates a clear conflict: the signal is firing against the dominant bearish trend, which reduces its reliability.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 11.73000 and support at 7.16900. A bullish reversal would need to overcome the resistance to confirm a trend shift, while a break below support would invalidate the signal. The alignment across timeframes is poor—all are bearish, so this signal is an early counter-trend indication. Traders should treat it as a potential reversal setup but require confirmation from higher timeframe price action, such as a break above resistance or a shift in trend scores toward bullish.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of three bullish signals (BOP, STOCHF, Inverted Hammer) at the same timeframe.
▲ Inverted Hammer pattern indicates potential buying pressure after a downtrend.
▲ Very strong signal probability (100%) adds weight to the reversal potential.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes are bearish, so the signal is counter-trend and may be premature.
▼ Trend scores are weak (2/5) across most timeframes, indicating no underlying bullish momentum.
▼ Resistance at 11.73000 is nearby; failure to break it could lead to rejection.
▼ If support at 7.16900 breaks, the signal is invalidated and bearish trend resumes.