ETH/BTC – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-23 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.34 %

Entry

0.02945

Target

0.03014 +2.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.02884 −2.07 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,586 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,586 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, KELTNER MID Cross Up, BIAS Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.0 % ↓ −27.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 90 % (16.62) ▼ Bearish 10 % (1.91)

model score 13.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.27
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.36
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.09
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.02
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.02
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on 4H, but higher timeframes are still bearish.
Key resistance at 0.03014; a break above would strengthen the bullish case.
Support at 0.02884 is critical; losing it would invalidate the signal.
Momentum is building, but trend alignment is not yet consistent across timeframes.

The 4H signal is strongly bullish, with an 87% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of technical indicators including DX Trend Weak, BIAS Zero Cross Up, COPPOCK Zero Cross Down, DPO Zero Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up, HMA Break Up, HMA Direction Up, and KELTNER MID Cross Up. These indicators collectively suggest a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish on the 4H timeframe, with the HMA break and direction change indicating a potential trend reversal. The KDJ cross up and BIAS zero cross up further support upward price pressure, while the COPPOCK zero cross down may reflect a short-term oversold condition that is now resolving.

The trend across timeframes is mixed: shorter timeframes (15m to 2h) are bullish but choppy, indicating early trend formation, while higher timeframes (4h to 1d) remain bearish, with solid trends on 8h, 12h, and 1d. This creates a potential conflict, as the bullish signal on 4H may be a counter-trend move within a larger bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 0.03014 and support at 0.02884 are key levels to watch; a break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators firing together (DX Trend Weak, BIAS Zero Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up, HMA Break Up) signal strong momentum shift.
▲ HMA Break Up and Direction Up indicate a potential trend reversal on the 4H timeframe.
▲ Shorter timeframes are turning bullish, suggesting early trend formation.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (87%) add confidence to the bullish bias.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish, with solid trends, which could override the 4H bullish signal.
▼ Choppy/sideways action on 1H and 2H may indicate lack of sustained momentum.
▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 0.03014, the bullish signal may fade.
▼ A drop below support at 0.02884 would invalidate the bullish setup and confirm the larger bearish trend.