ETH/USDT – 8H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-23 00:00 UTC 20 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.85 %

Entry

2,401.48

Target

2,579.88 +7.43 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,318.00 −3.48 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.14 % per trade 834 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 834 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +4.22 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.40 % 28 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.77 % 19 % at stop avg −5.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 25 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Bottom, Trendline Break Up, HMA Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −25.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 78 % (11.45) ▼ Bearish 22 % (3.19)

model score 6.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.3 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 31.3 % vs 22.3 % (crypto, 1,800 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Double Bottombreak + retest	chart_pattern	4.65
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.90
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	0.93
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.92
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.61

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on 8H: multiple patterns and indicators align for a buy signal.
Key level to watch: 2579.88 resistance; a break above confirms momentum, while 2318.00 support is the invalidation zone.
Higher timeframes (8H/12H) are still bearish, so this is a counter-trend trade—expect possible resistance from the larger downtrend.
Probability is high (94%) but not absolute; monitor for confirmation on lower timeframes before adding risk.

The 8H ETH/USDT signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish triggers, including a Trendline Break Up, a Double Bottom pattern, a Bullish Engulfing candle, and multiple indicator crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, FISHER Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Up, VORTEX Cross Up). This confluence suggests a strong shift in momentum on the 8H timeframe, with the probability score of 94% and 'very strong' strength indicating high conviction in the setup. The nearest resistance at 2579.88 is the immediate upside target, while support at 2318.00 provides a clear invalidation zone below the recent structure.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 8H and 12H timeframes show a solid bearish trend, the 15m and 30m are bullish but choppy, and the 1H, 2H, and 4H are still bearish. This means the signal is firing against the dominant higher-timeframe downtrend, which could limit follow-through. The bullish reversal is most convincing on the 8H itself, but for it to sustain, the lower timeframes need to consolidate and the 4H/1D trends must flip. Watch for whether the price can hold above the breakout level and push toward resistance; a failure to sustain above the breakout would signal a false trigger.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple independent signal groups (trendline, candlestick, chart pattern, indicator) all fired simultaneously, increasing confluence.
▲ Double Bottom and Bullish Engulfing patterns are classic reversal setups, adding structural weight.
▲ Indicator crossovers (BOP, FISHER, VORTEX) all point to a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
▲ The 8H trend score is solid (3/5), suggesting the reversal has a strong base on this timeframe.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are still in a solid bearish trend; this signal is counter-trend and may fail if the larger trend reasserts.
▼ If price falls below 2318.00 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and the signal likely fails.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m/30m) are choppy and sideways, indicating a lack of clean momentum that could stall the breakout.
▼ The 1H, 2H, and 4H trends are bearish, so the reversal has not yet propagated to intermediate timeframes—watch for confirmation there.