EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
39 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.08 %
Entry
1.59891
Target
1.59568 +0.20 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.60516 −0.39 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,246 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,246 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 13 % (3.91) ▼ Bearish 87 % (26.66)
model score 87.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
EUR/AUD  ·  30M
Loading…
Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.76
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.22
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.13
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.73
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.57
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.21
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 1.20
▼ ADX Trend Weak indicator 1.07

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signals on the 30m align with bearish trends on 1h, 2h, and 4h, but higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, so expect limited follow-through.
  • Watch the 1.60516 resistance as the invalidation level; a reclaim would negate the bearish setup.
  • The 1.59583 support is the immediate target; a break could extend the move, but momentum is weak (ADX Trend Weak).
  • The SAR Flip Bullish and 15m bullish trend are contrarian factors that could cause a bounce.
The 30-minute EUR/AUD signal is firmly bearish, with multiple indicators aligning to confirm downside pressure. The ADX Trend Weak reading suggests the current move lacks strong momentum, but the BOP Zero Cross Down and CCI OB Exit indicate a shift in buying pressure, while EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down, along with KAMA Retreat Down, point to a rejection from higher moving averages. The SAR Flip Bullish is a contrarian note, but the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down adds a cyclical bearish component. Together, these signals suggest a short-term sell opportunity, though the choppy/sideways trend across most timeframes (15m to 1d) implies that the move may be part of a broader consolidation rather than a strong directional trend.

Across timeframes, the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h all show bearish alignment, with the 2h and 4h in 'trend forming' mode, suggesting the bearish case is building. However, the 15m is bullish, which could provide a counter-trend bounce, and the overall choppy/sideways nature on higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) warns of limited follow-through. The nearest resistance at 1.60516 is a key invalidation level—if price reclaims this, the bearish thesis weakens. The nearest support at 1.59583 is the immediate downside target, but a break below could open further downside, though momentum is currently only moderate.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA 200, SMA 200, KAMA) confirm rejection from dynamic support.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and CCI OB Exit indicate a shift in buying pressure to selling.
  • ▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down adds a cyclical bearish component.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment across 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h with trend forming on 2h/4h supports the sell case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Weak ADX trend score suggests low momentum; the move may stall or consolidate.
  • ▲ The 15m timeframe is bullish, which could trigger a short-term bounce against the sell.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, indicating no strong trend to support a sustained drop.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 1.60516 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 87%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.60516 2026-10-22
R2 1.60625 2026-10-20
R3 1.60932 2026-10-20
S1 1.59583 2026-10-22
S2 1.59568 2026-10-22

Tags

Similar Signals