EUR/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW
4 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.13 %
Entry
1.56727
Target
1.56007 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.58064 −0.85 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +11% Intraday
▲ Bullish 15 % (4.71) ▼ Bearish 85 % (26.81)
model score 20.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
EUR/CAD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.52
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.51
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.50
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.42
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.41
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.25
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.87
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.79
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.46
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.38
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 1.08

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 2H with 85% probability and very strong strength.
  • Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, EMA, KAMA, SMA, etc.) align for a sell.
  • Bearish trend consistent across timeframes, strongest on 1H-4H.
  • Resistance at 1.58064 is the key level to watch; no support identified.
The EUR/CAD pair is exhibiting a strong bearish signal on the 2-hour timeframe, with an 85% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of multiple indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OS Exit, and a series of retreat signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA)—points to a well-established downtrend. The bearish alignment across timeframes, from 15m to 1d, reinforces the signal's credibility, with the strongest trends (4/5) on the 1h, 2h, and 4h charts. This multi-timeframe agreement suggests that the selling pressure is broad-based and not merely a short-term fluctuation.

Key levels to monitor include the nearest resistance at 1.58064, which could act as a pivot if price retraces. As there is no nearest support identified, the downside is open, but traders should be cautious of potential support zones not yet highlighted. The signal's strength is supported by the consistent trend scores across higher timeframes, indicating that the bearish momentum is likely to persist. However, the absence of a defined support level introduces uncertainty, and the 15m and 1d timeframes show only forming trends, suggesting that the very short-term and very long-term perspectives are less aligned. Watch for any bullish reversal signals or a break above the resistance level, which would invalidate the bearish thesis.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multi-timeframe bearish alignment (1H, 2H, 4H at 4/5 strength).
  • ▼ Confluence of over a dozen indicators firing in the same direction.
  • ▼ Retreat signals from multiple moving averages and midpoints confirm downward momentum.
  • ▼ CCI oversold exit suggests potential for continued downside.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ No nearest support level identified, leaving downside open but also uncertain.
  • ▲ Weaker trend formation on 15m and 1d (2/5) could signal a stalling or reversal.
  • ▲ If price breaks above 1.58064 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes could lead to consolidation.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 21%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.58064 2026-10-21
R2 1.59463 2026-10-16
R3 1.59614 2026-10-15

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