EUR/CAD – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW
2 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %
Entry
1.56923
Target
1.59614 +1.71 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.54764 −1.38 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, SMI Signal Cross Up, TEMA Break Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 85 % (19.91) ▼ Bearish 15 % (3.39)
model score 85.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/CAD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.14
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 2.12
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 2.06
▲ TEMA Break Up indicator 2.00
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.71
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.57
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 1.43
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.31
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.26
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.16
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.14
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.13
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.01
▼ Hanging Man candlestick 0.84
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 0.77
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.75
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.59

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple oversold exit indicators fire simultaneously, suggesting a strong bounce is likely on the 4H timeframe.
  • The bullish signal is counter to the prevailing bearish trend on higher timeframes, so treat it as a tactical long, not a trend reversal.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.59614; a failure to break above it could invalidate the bullish setup.
  • The 15m and 30m trends are turning bullish, aligning with the 4H signal for a short-term move.
  • Given the strong signal strength, a bounce is probable, but the higher-timeframe trend argues for caution.
The EUR/CAD 4H signal fires a cluster of oversold-exit indicators—CCI, RSI, STOCH, and Williams %R—alongside a retreat back above the lower Bollinger Band, a TEMA break to the upside, and a bullish saucer pattern in the AO. This confluence suggests that downside momentum has stalled and that a bounce from deeply oversold conditions is underway. The sheer number of confirming indicators, combined with the very strong probability score, points to a high-conviction setup for a bullish move on the 4H timeframe.

However, the higher timeframes (1H through 1D) are all bearish, with very strong trends on the 4H and adjacent frames. This creates a classic conflict: the immediate 4H signal is counter-trend against the broader picture. The nearest resistance at 1.59614 is the critical level to watch—if the bounce fails to reclaim it, the bearish trend likely resumes. The 15m and 30m timeframes are already turning bullish, which supports the idea of a short-term correction, but the overall trend alignment is not in favor of a sustained rally. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger downtrend, with tight risk management.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of four oversold exit indicators (CCI, RSI, STOCH, WILLR) all firing together increases confidence.
  • ▲ Retreat above the lower Bollinger Band and TEMA break up confirm a shift in momentum.
  • ▲ Bullish AO saucer pattern adds a structural element to the signal.
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are already bullish, providing a near-term alignment.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are strongly bearish, which could overwhelm the 4H bounce.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.59614 is a key barrier; if it holds, the bullish move may stall.
  • ▼ The signal is counter-trend, so the bounce may be short-lived and prone to reversal.
  • ▼ If the price fails to hold above the lower Bollinger Band, the oversold bounce could fail.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 86%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.59614 2026-10-15
R2 1.60194 2026-10-09
R3 1.60672 2026-10-06

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