EUR/GBP – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-23 05:00 UTC 17 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.14 %

Entry

0.83655

Target

0.83233 +0.50 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.84777 −1.34 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 10 % (3.40) ▼ Bearish 90 % (29.33)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.79
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.64
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.48
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.43
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.35
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.02
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.22
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.08
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	0.88
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 4H with 89% probability and very strong strength.
All timeframes align bearish, with the strongest trends on 2H and 4H (5/5).
Key resistance at 0.84777: a break above would weaken the bearish case.
Watch for potential exhaustion after extended downside moves; use trailing stops.

The 4H EUR/GBP signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a probability of 89% and very strong strength. The confluence of multiple indicator groups—including BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, RSI OS Entry, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down—points to a robust selling pressure. This is further supported by a consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with the strongest alignment on the 2H and 4H charts (5/5), and solid to very strong trends on the rest. The nearest resistance at 0.84777 serves as a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish thesis.

The trend alignment across timeframes is exceptional, with no conflicting bullish signals. The weakness in the 15m (trend forming) is minor and typical of the initial stage of a move. The combination of overbought conditions (RSI, WILLR) and the multiple crossovers suggests that momentum is firmly to the downside. Traders should monitor price action relative to the 0.84777 resistance; as long as price stays below, the bearish bias remains intact. However, given the lack of a defined nearest support, the immediate downside target is unclear, so risk management becomes crucial.

Catalysts

▼ Overwhelming confluence of bearish indicators across multiple groups.
▼ Extremely strong trend scores on 2H and 4H, with all other timeframes bearish.
▼ Multiple overbought signals (RSI, WILLR) suggest room for downside correction.
▼ EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA all retreating down, confirming the trend.

Risk Factors

▲ Resistance at 0.84777 is the invalidation level; a daily close above it would signal a potential reversal.
▲ The 15m trend is only forming (2/5), indicating possible short-term consolidation before further downside.
▲ Fading momentum could occur if the price stalls near resistance, leading to sideways action.
▲ No defined support level means the downside could be open-ended, increasing risk of sharp reversals.