EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 22:30 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.18 %

Entry

175.847

Target

175.534 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

177.758 −1.09 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bear Pennant, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Pennantbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.50
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.36
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.38
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.97
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	0.89
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30M chart with a Bear Pennant and multiple retreat indicators.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, but higher timeframes (4H-1D) are only forming, so this is a short-term signal.
Watch the 177.75800 resistance as the invalidation level; a break above would weaken the sell case.
Support at 175.54400 is the primary downside target; a break below would confirm continuation.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing in the same direction. The Bear Pennant pattern, a classic continuation setup, is reinforced by a BOP Zero Cross Down and a cascade of retreat signals from EMAs, KAMA, MAMA, and the midpoint. This confluence across chart patterns, candlesticks, and indicators suggests strong selling pressure with a very strong trend score (4/5) on the 30M and 1H timeframes. The alignment across multiple timeframes—from 15M up to 12H—all bearish, though with varying strength, bolsters the conviction behind the sell signal. The nearest resistance at 177.75800 acts as a ceiling, while support at 175.54400 is the key downside target; a break below this level would confirm the bearish continuation.

However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are only showing 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating that the bearish trend is not yet fully established on those scales. This means the sell signal is primarily a short-term play, and traders should watch for any shift in the higher-timeframe trend that could invalidate the setup. The probability of 88% is high, but not absolute. The invalidation level to monitor is the resistance at 177.75800; a decisive break above it would negate the bearish thesis. Momentum is strong now, but if the retreat signals begin to flatten or reverse, the setup could lose steam quickly.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MAMA, midpoint) all aligning downward on the 30M chart.
▼ Bear Pennant pattern adds a chart-pattern confirmation to the bearish momentum.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying/selling pressure, supporting the sell.
▼ Trend alignment across 15M to 12H timeframes, with very strong trend scores on 30M and 1H.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) show only 'trend forming', so the bearish trend is not yet fully established on those scales.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 177.75800 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if the retreat signals start to flatten or reverse, especially given the very strong short-term trend.
▲ The 88% probability is high but not certain; always manage risk accordingly.