EUR/USD – 12H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-10-23 09:00 UTC 5 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.80 %

Entry

1.12030

Target

1.12696 +0.59 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11129 −0.80 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,854 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,854 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.7 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 83 % (12.41) ▼ Bearish 17 % (2.47)

model score 30.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 546 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

13:45TodayEURECB Monetary Policy Press Conference●●●in 21m
14:30TodayEURBbk Executive Board Member Mauderer Speech●●○in 1h
17:00TodayUSD7-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 5.085%in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.29
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.29
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.28
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.21
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.98
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	0.95
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.91
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	0.87
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.77

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signal on 12H is likely a corrective bounce within a stronger bearish trend.
Watch the 1.12696 resistance; a break above would add credibility to the move.
Support at 1.11129 is the invalidation zone; losing it negates the bullish signal.
Weak signal strength and bearish higher timeframes suggest limited upside potential.

The EUR/USD 12H signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, CTI OS Entry, ER Level Cross Down, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down, and FISHER Zero Cross Down—suggesting a short-term upward correction within a broader bearish context. The signal's probability is 63% with weak strength, and the 12H trend itself is bearish but trend forming, while lower timeframes (15m, 30m) show choppy bullish action. This implies the bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal, especially as the 1D trend is strongly bearish (4/5).

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.12696 and support at 1.11129. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, but failure to hold above support could invalidate the signal. The combination of multiple oscillators and crossovers suggests momentum is building, but the weak strength and conflicting higher timeframe trends argue for caution. Traders should watch for confirmation on higher timeframes before committing to long positions.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, HT PHASOR) all crossed up, indicating synchronized momentum.
▲ Oversold entries (CTI OS Entry) and zero-cross downs (ER, ERI, FISHER) suggest a potential relief rally.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish, providing short-term tailwind.
▲ Proximity to support at 1.11129 may attract buyers if price approaches it.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (1H to 1D) are bearish, with the 1D showing a very strong downtrend.
▼ The signal strength is weak (63%), reducing confidence in the move's persistence.
▼ Resistance at 1.12696 is nearby and could cap the bounce.
▼ If price fails to hold above 1.11129, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend resumes.