EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED
23 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.13 %
Entry
1.12088
Target
1.11806 +0.25 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12560 −0.42 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 47%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.36
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.94
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.48
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 1.25
▼ Marubozu Bearish candlestick 1.19
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 1.00
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 1H signal is strongly bearish with multiple indicators aligned, suggesting a high-probability move lower.
  • All timeframes show bearish trends, with the 12H and 1D trends being particularly strong, supporting the short-term signal.
  • Watch the nearest support at 1.11885 for a potential break; a move below would confirm the bearish momentum.
  • The nearest resistance at 1.12560 is the key invalidation level; a reclaim would suggest the bearish signal is failing.
The 1H EUR/USD signal is overwhelmingly bearish, firing a cluster of trend-following indicators including a Trendline Break Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving average retreats (BBANDS, EMA, KAMA, MA). This confluence suggests a broad-based rejection of higher prices and a shift in momentum. The trend is consistently bearish across all observed timeframes, from 15m up to 8h, though these are rated as choppy/sideways with a low trend score of 1/5, indicating the move may be in its early stages or lacking smooth directional flow. However, the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) show solid to very strong bearish trends, providing a strong backdrop that supports the short-term signal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12560 and support at 1.11885. The signal's high probability (92%) and very strong strength, combined with the multi-timeframe bearish alignment, suggest that a move toward the support is likely. A break below 1.11885 would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong confluence of trend-following indicators (Trendline Break, CCI, STOCHF, moving averages) all pointing down.
  • ▼ Bearish trend across all timeframes, with higher timeframes (12H, 1D) showing solid to very strong trends, providing a supportive backdrop.
  • ▼ High signal probability (92%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction in the move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The choppy/sideways nature of the trend in lower timeframes (15m-8h) suggests the move may lack smooth momentum and could stall or reverse.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance at 1.12560 is close; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a squeeze higher.
  • ▲ Given the high probability, there is a risk of overextension; a quick rebound from support could trap late sellers.
  • ▲ If the 1D trend loses strength, the higher-timeframe support could fade, reducing the reliability of the signal.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 47%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12560 2026-10-22
R2 1.12608 2026-10-20
R3 1.12696 2026-10-16
S1 1.11885 2026-10-22
S2 1.11806 2026-10-19
S3 1.11129 2026-10-14

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