EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-23 18:30 UTC 4 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.07 %

Entry

1.11930

Target

1.11745 +0.17 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12265 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 4 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 8 % (2.67) ▼ Bearish 92 % (31.07)

model score 4.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.22
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.74
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute timeframe with 89% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple indicators and trendline breaks align, confirming downward pressure.
Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are solidly bearish, supporting the sell bias.
Watch the 1.11846 support; a break could extend losses, while 1.12119 resistance is the immediate ceiling.

The EUR/USD 30-minute signal is firmly bearish, with a very strong probability of 89% and a confluence of signals across trendline and indicator groups. The Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and multiple retreat signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) all align to confirm downward momentum. The broader timeframe picture supports this: the 1-hour and 2-hour trends are forming bearish moves, while the 8-hour and 12-hour are solidly bearish, and the daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend. This multi-timeframe alignment strengthens the conviction behind the sell signal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12119 and support at 1.11846. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a bounce off resistance would confirm the bearish bias. However, the 15-minute and 30-minute trends are choppy/sideways, suggesting short-term noise, and the 4-hour trend is also choppy. The strength of the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) provides a solid backdrop, but traders should be cautious of potential whipsaws in the near term.

Catalysts

▼ Multi-timeframe alignment: daily and 12-hour trends are strongly bearish, providing a solid macro backdrop.
▼ Confluence of signals: trendline break plus multiple indicator retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA) reinforce the bearish case.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicate momentum shifting lower.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy/sideways action on the 15m and 30m timeframes could lead to short-term consolidation or false breaks.
▲ The 4-hour trend is choppy, suggesting the bearish move may not be fully mature at that level.
▲ If the price fails to break below 1.11846 and instead reclaims 1.12119, the signal could be invalidated.
▲ A sudden shift in news sentiment or a higher-timeframe bullish correction could counter the bearish momentum.