EUR/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %
Entry
1.12010
Target
1.12608 +0.53 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11129 −0.79 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, WILLR OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 82 % (6.35) ▼ Bearish 18 % (1.44)
model score 81.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KST Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.34
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.32
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.21
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.09
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.07
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 0.86
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 0.61

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of oversold-exit and momentum indicators aligns for a bullish bounce on the 4H, but higher timeframes are bearish.
  • Watch the 1.12608 resistance: a break above could open room for more upside, while losing 1.11806 support would invalidate the bounce.
  • The 1D very strong downtrend (4/5) means this is likely a counter-trend rally—manage expectations accordingly.
  • The bullish harami and multiple oscillator exits suggest the bounce has technical confluence, but trend confirmation is still missing.
The 4H EUR/USD signal fires a dense cluster of bullish momentum and volatility-exit indicators: BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, KST Zero Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, and a Bullish Harami candlestick. Together these suggest the pair is rebounding from an oversold, compressed state, with mean reversion and a shift in buying pressure. The confluence of multiple oscillators exiting oversold territory and the bullish candle pattern point to a short-term bounce, though the broader context is more cautious.

The higher timeframes are predominantly bearish, with the 1D showing a very strong downtrend (4/5) and most intraday frames bearish or choppy. Only the 15m and 30m are bullish but weak (1/5), indicating the bounce is still in its infancy and lacks trend confirmation. The nearest resistance at 1.12608 is a key hurdle; a break above would signal stronger momentum, while the support at 1.11806 is the invalidation zone. The signal is strong in probability (81%) but must be weighed against the dominant bearish trend, so this is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillators (CCI, WILLR, ZSCORE) exiting oversold levels simultaneously, indicating extreme conditions are unwinding.
  • ▲ Bullish Harami candlestick pattern adds a price-action confirmation to the indicator cluster.
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m are already bullish, showing early momentum that could propagate upward.
  • ▲ Strong signal probability (81%) and 'strong' strength rating suggest a high-confidence setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H through 1D) are bearish, with the 1D in a very strong downtrend—this bounce may be short-lived.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.12608 is a nearby ceiling that could cap the move; failure to break it would signal weakness.
  • ▼ If price loses the 1.11806 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and the broader downtrend likely resumes.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on most intraday frames (1/5) suggest the bounce could stall or consolidate before gaining traction.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 82%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12608 2026-10-20
R2 1.12696 2026-10-16
R3 1.12768 2026-10-06
S1 1.11806 2026-10-19
S2 1.11129 2026-10-14

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