EUR/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-23 01:00 UTC 23 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

1.12088

Target

1.11806 +0.25 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12608 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Triple Top, Double Top, EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 15 % (2.90) ▼ Bearish 85 % (16.49)

model score 18.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Triple Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.21
▼	Double Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.75
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.09
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.00
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.55
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.05
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.77
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.68
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.60

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish patterns (Double Top, Triple Top) and trendline break align on 4H, backed by zero-cross indicators.
All timeframes show bearish bias, but near-term strength is weak (choppy/sideways) — expect possible consolidation before continuation.
Watch 1.12608 as resistance; a move above it would undermine the bearish case.
Support at 1.11806 is the immediate downside target; a break could accelerate the selloff.

A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the 4H timeframe for EUR/USD, led by a trendline break, a Double Top and Triple Top pattern, and zero-cross confirmations from BOP, MACD, and STOCHF KD. The retreat of both DEMA and EMA from above reinforces that sellers have seized control. With 14 additional signals across trendline, chart pattern, candlestick, and indicator groups, the confluence is exceptionally strong, and the 96% probability and 'very strong' strength rating reflect this alignment.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from 15m up to 1D, though the near-term (15m-8h) trends are choppy and sideways (strength 1/5), indicating that the immediate momentum is weak. The 12H and 1D trends, however, are solid to very strong (3/5 and 4/5), suggesting the larger picture favors a continuation of the downtrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12608, which should hold as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 1.11806, which is the immediate downside target. A break below support would open the path for further declines, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence: trendline break, chart patterns, and multiple indicator zero-crosses all point in the same direction.
▼ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) show solid to very strong bearish trends, supporting the 4H signal.
▼ The DEMA and EMA retreats confirm that momentum has shifted to the downside.

Risk Factors

▲ Near-term trends (15m-8h) are choppy and sideways (strength 1/5), indicating weak momentum that could stall the move.
▲ Resistance at 1.12608 is close; a reclaim of that level would invalidate the bearish pattern.
▲ The sheer number of signals might indicate an overextended move, increasing the risk of a snap-back rally.

Symbol EUR/USD

Timeframe 4H

Direction SELL

Conviction 18%

Strength WEAK

Date 2026-10-23 01:00

cat_ Forex Forex