GBP/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: MA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +9 more
Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.79 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▼ | SMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 1.02 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.99 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.99 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 0.99 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple momentum and trend indicators have fired bearish on the 1H, giving a high-probability sell signal.
- Bearish alignment is solid from 30m to 4H, but higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy, so treat this as a strong short-term move.
- Key levels: resistance at 211.99000 and support at 209.47000; watch for a break below support to confirm continuation.
- The signal is very strong, but the lack of a clear trend on higher timeframes warrants caution against overextending the trade.
Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is consistent from 30m through 4H, all showing solid 3/5 trends, which supports the immediate sell bias. However, the 8H and 12H are choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating that the higher-degree trend lacks a clear direction, and the 1D is only trend-forming (2/5). This suggests the move is corrective within a larger consolidation rather than a fresh major downtrend. The nearest resistance at 211.99000 and support at 209.47000 frame the immediate trading range; a break below support would confirm deeper bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
- ▼ Confluence of 15+ signals across candlestick and indicator groups, all pointing bearish.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend scores (3/5) across 30m, 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes.
- ▼ EMA 200 and HT TRENDLINE retreat downs confirm that the 1H structure is turning lower.
- ▼ Strong momentum shift indicated by zero-cross downs on BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy/sideways, which could mean the bearish move is just a correction within a range.
- ▲ The 1D trend is only forming (2/5), so there is no confirmed long-term downtrend to support a larger sell.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 211.99000 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated; watch for that level.
- ▲ Momentum signals can fade quickly; if the 1H trend score drops below 3/5, the move may stall.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 211.99000 | 2026-10-22 |
| S1 | 209.47000 | 2026-10-22 |
| S2 | 208.35900 | 2026-10-14 |